Incumbent Karen Bass leads the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race at 59.5% in trader consensus after securing a primary plurality and advancing to the November 3 general election runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 39.9%. The June 2 nonpartisan primary produced a Bass-Raman matchup once late-counted ballots lifted Raman past reality television personality Spencer Pratt for second place. Bass benefits from incumbency advantages and wide geographic support despite criticism over homelessness, budget shortfalls, and wildfire response, while Raman draws from progressive voters focused on affordability and housing policy. Minor candidates trail far behind with negligible shares, reflecting limited viability in the top-two system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKaren Bass 60%
Nithya Raman 39.9%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Asaad Alnajjar <1%
$11,814,533 Vol.
$11,814,533 Vol.

Karen Bass
60%

Nithya Raman
40%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Asaad Alnajjar
<1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Rick Caruso
<1%

Gina Viola
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%

Rae Huang
<1%

Adam Miller
<1%
Karen Bass 60%
Nithya Raman 39.9%
Spencer Pratt <1%
Asaad Alnajjar <1%
$11,814,533 Vol.
$11,814,533 Vol.

Karen Bass
60%

Nithya Raman
40%

Spencer Pratt
1%

Asaad Alnajjar
<1%

Austin Beutner
<1%

Monica Rodriguez
<1%

Rick Caruso
<1%

Gina Viola
<1%

Lindsey Horvath
<1%

Rae Huang
<1%

Adam Miller
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Mercado abierto: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Karen Bass leads the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral race at 59.5% in trader consensus after securing a primary plurality and advancing to the November 3 general election runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 39.9%. The June 2 nonpartisan primary produced a Bass-Raman matchup once late-counted ballots lifted Raman past reality television personality Spencer Pratt for second place. Bass benefits from incumbency advantages and wide geographic support despite criticism over homelessness, budget shortfalls, and wildfire response, while Raman draws from progressive voters focused on affordability and housing policy. Minor candidates trail far behind with negligible shares, reflecting limited viability in the top-two system.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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