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Elecciones·Primarias De Nueva York

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias De Nueva York

TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 33%

DeVante Hill 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Steve Cohen 59%

Justin Pearson 33%

DeVante Hill 7.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Steve Cohen

$3,308 Vol.

59%

Justin Pearson

$0 Vol.

33%

DeVante Hill

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a 58.5% trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his incumbency advantage since 2007, dominant fundraising with $1.8 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025, and history of fending off local challengers in deep-blue Memphis. A mid-March Justice Democrats poll of 354 likely primary voters showed a tight 45%-44% lead for Cohen over Justin Pearson before messaging, fueling Pearson's 32.5% share amid his progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and $732,000 in receipts. Memphis activist DeVante Hill's January entry garners 7.8%, splitting potential anti-incumbent votes, though no public polls include him; high turnout among younger Black voters could shift dynamics.

Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a 58.5% trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his incumbency advantage since 2007, dominant fundraising with $1.8 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025, and history of fending off local challengers in deep-blue Memphis. A mid-March Justice Democrats poll of 354 likely primary voters showed a tight 45%-44% lead for Cohen over Justin Pearson before messaging, fueling Pearson's 32.5% share amid his progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and $732,000 in receipts. Memphis activist DeVante Hill's January entry garners 7.8%, splitting potential anti-incumbent votes, though no public polls include him; high turnout among younger Black voters could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a 58.5% trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his incumbency advantage since 2007, dominant fundraising with $1.8 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025, and history of fending off local challengers in deep-blue Memphis. A mid-March Justice Democrats poll of 354 likely primary voters showed a tight 45%-44% lead for Cohen over Justin Pearson before messaging, fueling Pearson's 32.5% share amid his progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and $732,000 in receipts. Memphis activist DeVante Hill's January entry garners 7.8%, splitting potential anti-incumbent votes, though no public polls include him; high turnout among younger Black voters could shift dynamics.

Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a 58.5% trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his incumbency advantage since 2007, dominant fundraising with $1.8 million cash-on-hand as of December 2025, and history of fending off local challengers in deep-blue Memphis. A mid-March Justice Democrats poll of 354 likely primary voters showed a tight 45%-44% lead for Cohen over Justin Pearson before messaging, fueling Pearson's 32.5% share amid his progressive profile from the 2023 Tennessee House expulsion and $732,000 in receipts. Memphis activist DeVante Hill's January entry garners 7.8%, splitting potential anti-incumbent votes, though no public polls include him; high turnout among younger Black voters could shift dynamics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Steve Cohen" con 59%, seguido de "Justin Pearson" con 33%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Steve Cohen" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Justin Pearson" con 33%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.