Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 60%
Justin Pearson 33%
DeVante Hill 7.7%
Steve Cohen
60%
Justin Pearson
33%
DeVante Hill
8%
Steve Cohen 60%
Justin Pearson 33%
DeVante Hill 7.7%
Steve Cohen
60%
Justin Pearson
33%
DeVante Hill
8%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 59.5% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, driven by his two-decade tenure, strong fundraising, and proven ability to fend off challengers in the safely Democratic Memphis-based district. State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 32.5%, has narrowed the gap per recent Data for Progress and Justice Democrats polls from mid-March showing a virtual tie among likely primary voters, bolstered by national progressive endorsements like Justice Democrats and his profile from the 2023 Tennessee Three gun reform protests. Activist DeVante Hill trails at 7.6% following his January entry. With candidate filing closed March 11, attention turns to turnout among key voting blocs ahead of early voting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes