Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
MA-08 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Stephen Lynch 72%
Andrew Zylberfink 1.4%
Patrick Roath 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
Stephen Lynch
52%
Andrew Zylberfink
11%
Patrick Roath
40%
Stephen Lynch 72%
Andrew Zylberfink 1.4%
Patrick Roath 0
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
Stephen Lynch
$2,228 Vol.
52%
Andrew Zylberfink
$286 Vol.
11%
Patrick Roath
$50 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$2,563Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$2,563Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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