Trader consensus in the Texas U.S. Senate matchup market heavily favors Democrat state Rep. James Talarico facing off against either Attorney General Ken Paxton (56%) or incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (42%) in the 2026 general election, with other combinations near zero. This positioning stems from Paxton's recent escalation of attacks on Cornyn—labeling him insufficiently conservative on border security and Ukraine aid in post-election interviews—bolstering Paxton's primary challenge prospects among the GOP base, where incumbents face rare but potent threats from Trump-aligned figures. Talarico's emergence as the Democrats' early frontrunner reflects his statewide fundraising momentum and vocal opposition to GOP policies, outpacing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, while Wesley Hunt lags on the Republican side. With primaries set for March 2026, polls remain sparse, leaving room for endorsements and candidate announcements to shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEncuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Encuentro electoral del Senado de Texas
Talarico y Paxton 56%
Talarico y Cornyn 42%
Crockett y Paxton <1%
Otro <1%
$607,414 Vol.
$607,414 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico y Paxton
56%
Talarico y Cornyn
42%
Crockett y Paxton
<1%
Otro
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
<1%
Crockett y Hunt
<1%
Talarico y Paxton 56%
Talarico y Cornyn 42%
Crockett y Paxton <1%
Otro <1%
$607,414 Vol.
$607,414 Vol.
Mar 3, 2026
Talarico y Paxton
$224,981 Vol.
56%
Talarico y Cornyn
$151,956 Vol.
42%
Crockett y Paxton
$101,824 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$22,425 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Cornyn
$62,878 Vol.
<1%
Talarico y Hunt
$21,674 Vol.
<1%
Crockett y Hunt
$21,676 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Texas U.S. Senate matchup market heavily favors Democrat state Rep. James Talarico facing off against either Attorney General Ken Paxton (56%) or incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (42%) in the 2026 general election, with other combinations near zero. This positioning stems from Paxton's recent escalation of attacks on Cornyn—labeling him insufficiently conservative on border security and Ukraine aid in post-election interviews—bolstering Paxton's primary challenge prospects among the GOP base, where incumbents face rare but potent threats from Trump-aligned figures. Talarico's emergence as the Democrats' early frontrunner reflects his statewide fundraising momentum and vocal opposition to GOP policies, outpacing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, while Wesley Hunt lags on the Republican side. With primaries set for March 2026, polls remain sparse, leaving room for endorsements and candidate announcements to shift odds.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
Volumen
$607,414Fecha de finalización
Mar 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Texas U.S. Senate matchup market heavily favors Democrat state Rep. James Talarico facing off against either Attorney General Ken Paxton (56%) or incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (42%) in the 2026 general election, with other combinations near zero. This positioning stems from Paxton's recent escalation of attacks on Cornyn—labeling him insufficiently conservative on border security and Ukraine aid in post-election interviews—bolstering Paxton's primary challenge prospects among the GOP base, where incumbents face rare but potent threats from Trump-aligned figures. Talarico's emergence as the Democrats' early frontrunner reflects his statewide fundraising momentum and vocal opposition to GOP policies, outpacing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, while Wesley Hunt lags on the Republican side. With primaries set for March 2026, polls remain sparse, leaving room for endorsements and candidate announcements to shift odds.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$607,414Fecha de finalización
Mar 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Texas U.S. Senate matchup market heavily favors Democrat state Rep. James Talarico facing off against either Attorney General Ken Paxton (56%) or incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (42%) in the 2026 general election, with other combinations near zero. This positioning stems from Paxton's recent escalation of attacks on Cornyn—labeling him insufficiently conservative on border security and Ukraine aid in post-election interviews—bolstering Paxton's primary challenge prospects among the GOP base, where incumbents face rare but potent threats from Trump-aligned figures. Talarico's emergence as the Democrats' early frontrunner reflects his statewide fundraising momentum and vocal opposition to GOP policies, outpacing Rep. Jasmine Crockett, while Wesley Hunt lags on the Republican side. With primaries set for March 2026, polls remain sparse, leaving room for endorsements and candidate announcements to shift odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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