Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the May 12, 2026 nonpartisan Newark general election, reflecting his strong track record of landslide victories—83% against Sheila Montague in 2022—and a weak field of challengers with minimal past success, including perennial candidates like Montague, Debra Salters, and Jhamar Youngblood who underperformed in recent congressional and council races. Filings closed February 26 with seven minor opponents, solidifying expectations of an easy win likely avoiding a June 9 runoff. Recent scrutiny over a $500 million no-bid school deal linked to a donor prompted Baraka's denial of involvement, but has not shifted odds. Voter registration closes April 21 ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%
Douglas Davis 3.5%
Sheila Montague 2.9%
Ras Baraka
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Debra Salters
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 89%
Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%
Douglas Davis 3.5%
Sheila Montague 2.9%
Ras Baraka
89%
Nasheedah Singleton
4%
Douglas Davis
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Debra Salters
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the May 12, 2026 nonpartisan Newark general election, reflecting his strong track record of landslide victories—83% against Sheila Montague in 2022—and a weak field of challengers with minimal past success, including perennial candidates like Montague, Debra Salters, and Jhamar Youngblood who underperformed in recent congressional and council races. Filings closed February 26 with seven minor opponents, solidifying expectations of an easy win likely avoiding a June 9 runoff. Recent scrutiny over a $500 million no-bid school deal linked to a donor prompted Baraka's denial of involvement, but has not shifted odds. Voter registration closes April 21 ahead of election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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