Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 90.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026, Newark nonpartisan mayoral election due to his unchallenged incumbency advantage after 12 years in office, bolstered by a recent State of the City address on April 1 highlighting achievements in city progress and development. Seven challengers, including Nasheedah Singleton and Sheila Montague, remain minor figures with limited name recognition or resources following the February filing deadline and March candidate certification, yielding no credible threats in the absence of polls or endorsements shifting dynamics. Voter registration closes April 21, with early voting underway; realistic disruptions would require a late scandal, high challenger turnout among non-voters, or escalated concerns from a recent letter by 12 candidates requesting DOJ election monitoring over alleged irregularities by Baraka's slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNewark Mayoral Election
Newark Mayoral Election
Ras Baraka 91%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.8%
Sheila Montague 2.6%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Ras Baraka
91%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Debra Salters
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Ras Baraka 91%
Nasheedah Singleton 2.8%
Sheila Montague 2.6%
Douglas Davis 2.6%
Ras Baraka
91%
Nasheedah Singleton
3%
Sheila Montague
3%
Douglas Davis
3%
Debra Salters
2%
Jhamar Youngblood
2%
Tanisha Garner
1%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
<1%
Noble Milton
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 90.5% trader consensus in the May 12, 2026, Newark nonpartisan mayoral election due to his unchallenged incumbency advantage after 12 years in office, bolstered by a recent State of the City address on April 1 highlighting achievements in city progress and development. Seven challengers, including Nasheedah Singleton and Sheila Montague, remain minor figures with limited name recognition or resources following the February filing deadline and March candidate certification, yielding no credible threats in the absence of polls or endorsements shifting dynamics. Voter registration closes April 21, with early voting underway; realistic disruptions would require a late scandal, high challenger turnout among non-voters, or escalated concerns from a recent letter by 12 candidates requesting DOJ election monitoring over alleged irregularities by Baraka's slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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