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Newark Mayoral Election

Market icon

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 89%

Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%

Douglas Davis 3.5%

Sheila Montague 2.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ras Baraka 89%

Nasheedah Singleton 4.3%

Douglas Davis 3.5%

Sheila Montague 2.9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ras Baraka

$1,720 Vol.

89%

Nasheedah Singleton

$585 Vol.

4%

Douglas Davis

$637 Vol.

3%

Sheila Montague

$872 Vol.

3%

Debra Salters

$632 Vol.

2%

Jhamar Youngblood

$657 Vol.

2%

Tanisha Garner

$680 Vol.

1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$596 Vol.

<1%

Noble Milton

$567 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$533 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the May 12, 2026 nonpartisan Newark general election, reflecting his strong track record of landslide victories—83% against Sheila Montague in 2022—and a weak field of challengers with minimal past success, including perennial candidates like Montague, Debra Salters, and Jhamar Youngblood who underperformed in recent congressional and council races. Filings closed February 26 with seven minor opponents, solidifying expectations of an easy win likely avoiding a June 9 runoff. Recent scrutiny over a $500 million no-bid school deal linked to a donor prompted Baraka's denial of involvement, but has not shifted odds. Voter registration closes April 21 ahead of election day.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volumen
$7,479
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the May 12, 2026 nonpartisan Newark general election, reflecting his strong track record of landslide victories—83% against Sheila Montague in 2022—and a weak field of challengers with minimal past success, including perennial candidates like Montague, Debra Salters, and Jhamar Youngblood who underperformed in recent congressional and council races. Filings closed February 26 with seven minor opponents, solidifying expectations of an easy win likely avoiding a June 9 runoff. Recent scrutiny over a $500 million no-bid school deal linked to a donor prompted Baraka's denial of involvement, but has not shifted odds. Voter registration closes April 21 ahead of election day.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volumen
$7,479
Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Newark Mayoral Election" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ras Baraka" con 89%, seguido de "Nasheedah Singleton" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Newark Mayoral Election" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Newark Mayoral Election", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Newark Mayoral Election" es "Ras Baraka" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nasheedah Singleton" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Newark Mayoral Election" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.