Morena's commanding position in national polling and party infrastructure drives trader expectations that it will secure the largest share of seats in the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election. Recent surveys place Morena at 36-41 percent voter preference, well ahead of PAN, PRI, and MC, which remain fragmented and trail by wide margins. The ruling party's large membership base, control of multiple governorships up for renewal, and ongoing coalition coordination with PT and PVEM reinforce its structural edge in both single-member districts and proportional representation. The electoral process formally opened in September 2026, with campaigns set to intensify next year, though no major late shifts have altered the current consensus on the leading outcome.