Trader consensus on Polymarket prices CDU at 57.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead as the incumbent party under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. The latest INSA survey (April 7–14, 2026) shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with FDP, BSW, and others below 5%—near the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from CDU's stable governance in the black-red coalition amid SPD's national weakness and fragmented opposition, with no major shifts in recent polls. Upcoming campaign dynamics could influence the closely contested second tier, but CDU's incumbency advantage bolsters its frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones estatales de Berlín
Ganador de las elecciones estatales de Berlín
CDU 57%
Verdes 15.0%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.2%
$2,572,556 Vol.
$2,572,556 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
57%
Verdes
15%
Linke
12%
AfD
9%
SPD
7%
BSW
1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU 57%
Verdes 15.0%
Linke 12%
AfD 9.2%
$2,572,556 Vol.
$2,572,556 Vol.
20 sep 2026
CDU
$15,140 Vol.
57%
Verdes
$27,805 Vol.
15%
Linke
$11,553 Vol.
12%
AfD
$2,187,196 Vol.
9%
SPD
$287,315 Vol.
7%
BSW
$26,247 Vol.
1%
FDP
$10,274 Vol.
<1%
FW
$7,026 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices CDU at 57.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead as the incumbent party under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. The latest INSA survey (April 7–14, 2026) shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with FDP, BSW, and others below 5%—near the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from CDU's stable governance in the black-red coalition amid SPD's national weakness and fragmented opposition, with no major shifts in recent polls. Upcoming campaign dynamics could influence the closely contested second tier, but CDU's incumbency advantage bolsters its frontrunner status.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Mercado abierto: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Volumen
$2,572,556Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices CDU at 57.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead as the incumbent party under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. The latest INSA survey (April 7–14, 2026) shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with FDP, BSW, and others below 5%—near the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from CDU's stable governance in the black-red coalition amid SPD's national weakness and fragmented opposition, with no major shifts in recent polls. Upcoming campaign dynamics could influence the closely contested second tier, but CDU's incumbency advantage bolsters its frontrunner status.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volumen
$2,572,556Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices CDU at 57.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's Abgeordnetenhaus election on September 20, 2026, reflecting its consistent poll lead as the incumbent party under Governing Mayor Kai Wegner. The latest INSA survey (April 7–14, 2026) shows CDU at 21%, ahead of AfD and SPD at 17% each, Grüne and Linke at 15%, with FDP, BSW, and others below 5%—near the electoral threshold. This positioning stems from CDU's stable governance in the black-red coalition amid SPD's national weakness and fragmented opposition, with no major shifts in recent polls. Upcoming campaign dynamics could influence the closely contested second tier, but CDU's incumbency advantage bolsters its frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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