Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls showing the party at 25% in the latest INSA survey (March 17–24, 2026), trailing AfD's 38% but well ahead of Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). This positioning stems from steady polling trends since CDU leader Reiner Haseloff's August 2025 decision to step down and Sven Schulze's January 2026 election as Ministerpräsident, amid AfD's persistent eastern Germany strength and other parties' struggles to surpass the 5% threshold. Upcoming campaign events could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing underscores CDU's secure runner-up status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoElecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt: 2º lugar
Elecciones parlamentarias de Sachsen-Anhalt: 2º lugar
CDU 88%
AfD 8%
SPD 1.0%
Los Verdes 1.0%
$38,844 Vol.
$38,844 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
8%

SPD
1%

Los Verdes
1%

BSW
1%

FDP
1%

La Izquierda
1%
CDU 88%
AfD 8%
SPD 1.0%
Los Verdes 1.0%
$38,844 Vol.
$38,844 Vol.

CDU
88%

AfD
8%

SPD
1%

Los Verdes
1%

BSW
1%

FDP
1%

La Izquierda
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls showing the party at 25% in the latest INSA survey (March 17–24, 2026), trailing AfD's 38% but well ahead of Die Linke (13%), SPD (6%), BSW (5%), Greens (4%), and FDP (3%). This positioning stems from steady polling trends since CDU leader Reiner Haseloff's August 2025 decision to step down and Sven Schulze's January 2026 election as Ministerpräsident, amid AfD's persistent eastern Germany strength and other parties' struggles to surpass the 5% threshold. Upcoming campaign events could narrow gaps, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing underscores CDU's secure runner-up status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes