Skip to main content
Market icon
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

Market icon
Mundo·Brasil

Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 31%

Romeu Zema 20%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%

Polymarket

$206,653 Vol.

Ronaldo Caiado 35%

Renan Santos 31%

Romeu Zema 20%

Flávio Bolsonaro 4.2%

Polymarket

$206,653 Vol.

¿Terminará Ronaldo Caiado en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Ronaldo Caiado

$9,610 Vol.

35%

¿Renan Santos terminará en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Renan Santos

$27,868 Vol.

31%

¿Terminará Romeu Zema en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Romeu Zema

$4,088 Vol.

20%

¿Terminará Flávio Bolsonaro en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Flávio Bolsonaro

$2,621 Vol.

4%

¿Terminará Fernando Haddad en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil de 2026? icon

Fernando Haddad

$12,229 Vol.

4%

¿Terminará Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Ratinho Júnior

$90,211 Vol.

3%

¿Camilo Santana terminará en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Camilo Santana

$4,670 Vol.

2%

¿Terminará Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$2,984 Vol.

2%

¿Eduardo Leite terminará en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Eduardo Leite

$1,640 Vol.

1%

¿Eduardo Bolsonaro terminará en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$38,847 Vol.

1%

¿Terminará Tarcisio de Freitas en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Tarcisio de Freitas

$2,866 Vol.

1%

¿Terminará Jair Bolsonaro en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Jair Bolsonaro

$2,059 Vol.

1%

¿Terminará Aldo Rebelo en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Aldo Rebelo

$1,754 Vol.

1%

¿Terminará Michelle Bolsonaro en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Michelle Bolsonaro

$2,265 Vol.

1%

¿Terminará Geraldo Alckmin en tercer lugar en la primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales brasileñas de 2026? icon

Geraldo Alckmin

$2,939 Vol.

1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ronaldo Caiado a slight edge at 34.5% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, first-round presidential election, closely trailed by Renan Santos at 31% and Romeu Zema at 19.5%, amid polls showing Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating the top two spots. The latest Quaest survey from April 9-13 places Caiado at 6%, Zema at 3%, and Santos at 2% among valid votes, with 16% undecideds amplifying volatility in the fragmented center-right field where governors like Caiado (Goiás) and Zema (Minas Gerais) leverage regional strongholds while Santos gains anti-establishment traction via the new Missão party rooted in MBL activism. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting conservatives and Flávio Bolsonaro's ongoing defamation probe potentially redistributing right-wing support; separation could arise from candidate consolidations, fresh polling, or pre-campaign endorsements before registration deadlines.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$206,653
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Ronaldo Caiado a slight edge at 34.5% implied probability for third place in Brazil's October 4, 2026, first-round presidential election, closely trailed by Renan Santos at 31% and Romeu Zema at 19.5%, amid polls showing Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating the top two spots. The latest Quaest survey from April 9-13 places Caiado at 6%, Zema at 3%, and Santos at 2% among valid votes, with 16% undecideds amplifying volatility in the fragmented center-right field where governors like Caiado (Goiás) and Zema (Minas Gerais) leverage regional strongholds while Santos gains anti-establishment traction via the new Missão party rooted in MBL activism. The race stays tight due to vote-splitting conservatives and Flávio Bolsonaro's ongoing defamation probe potentially redistributing right-wing support; separation could arise from candidate consolidations, fresh polling, or pre-campaign endorsements before registration deadlines.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$206,653
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 15 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ronaldo Caiado" con 35%, seguido de "Renan Santos" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" ha generado $206.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar", explora los 15 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" es "Ronaldo Caiado" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Renan Santos" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera ronda de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 3er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.