Recent polls from AtlasIntel (late April) and Real Time Big Data (early May) place Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado in a tight cluster at 3-5% in first-round voting intentions, well behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (40-47%) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (34-40%), fueling trader consensus on a closely contested third-place race. Zema's national visibility surged from his public confrontation with Supreme Court Justice Gilmar Mendes, Renan Santos (MBL/Missão) has climbed in surveys reflecting grassroots appeal, and Caiado draws on Goiás security gains, yet the fragmented center-right vote keeps odds volatile. Party endorsements, conventions, or fresh polling could tip the balance before the October 4 first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRomeu Zema 33%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Camilo Santana 4.5%
$273,459 Vol.
$273,459 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Romeu Zema
33%
Renan Santos
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Camilo Santana
5%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro
2%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Eduardo Leite
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Romeu Zema 33%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Camilo Santana 4.5%
$273,459 Vol.
$273,459 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Romeu Zema
$9,129 Vol.
33%
Renan Santos
$61,014 Vol.
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
$16,384 Vol.
19%
Camilo Santana
$5,914 Vol.
5%
Fernando Haddad
$14,324 Vol.
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$6,592 Vol.
2%
Geraldo Alckmin
$4,116 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Leite
$2,529 Vol.
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$4,062 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$5,022 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$4,298 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$39,592 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$93,104 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$4,038 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from AtlasIntel (late April) and Real Time Big Data (early May) place Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado in a tight cluster at 3-5% in first-round voting intentions, well behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (40-47%) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (34-40%), fueling trader consensus on a closely contested third-place race. Zema's national visibility surged from his public confrontation with Supreme Court Justice Gilmar Mendes, Renan Santos (MBL/Missão) has climbed in surveys reflecting grassroots appeal, and Caiado draws on Goiás security gains, yet the fragmented center-right vote keeps odds volatile. Party endorsements, conventions, or fresh polling could tip the balance before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$273,459Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from AtlasIntel (late April) and Real Time Big Data (early May) place Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado in a tight cluster at 3-5% in first-round voting intentions, well behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (40-47%) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (34-40%), fueling trader consensus on a closely contested third-place race. Zema's national visibility surged from his public confrontation with Supreme Court Justice Gilmar Mendes, Renan Santos (MBL/Missão) has climbed in surveys reflecting grassroots appeal, and Caiado draws on Goiás security gains, yet the fragmented center-right vote keeps odds volatile. Party endorsements, conventions, or fresh polling could tip the balance before the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$273,459Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from AtlasIntel (late April) and Real Time Big Data (early May) place Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado in a tight cluster at 3-5% in first-round voting intentions, well behind President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (40-47%) and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (34-40%), fueling trader consensus on a closely contested third-place race. Zema's national visibility surged from his public confrontation with Supreme Court Justice Gilmar Mendes, Renan Santos (MBL/Missão) has climbed in surveys reflecting grassroots appeal, and Caiado draws on Goiás security gains, yet the fragmented center-right vote keeps odds volatile. Party endorsements, conventions, or fresh polling could tip the balance before the October 4 first round.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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