Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ratinho Júnior at 42.5% for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his strong polling as a center-right governor of Paraná amid scenarios where Tarcísio de Freitas and a left-wing frontrunner like Lula or Haddad secure the top two spots. Renan Santos trails at 31.5%, buoyed by emerging regional support and buzz in early surveys positioning him as a dark horse conservative. Recent developments include high approval ratings for governors like Ratinho and Tarcísio following effective state-level governance on economy and security, contrasted by lower odds for Bolsonaro family members due to legal hurdles. Upcoming nationwide polls and potential endorsements could shift these implied probabilities, underscoring the race's fluidity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoRatinho Júnior 43%
Renan Santos 32%
Romeu Zema 8%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8%
$14,790 Vol.
$14,790 Vol.

Ratinho Júnior
43%

Renan Santos
32%

Romeu Zema
8%

Flávio Bolsonaro
8%

Tarcisio de Freitas
5%

Ronaldo Caiado
5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
3%

Geraldo Alckmin
2%

Fernando Haddad
2%

Jair Bolsonaro
2%

Michelle Bolsonaro
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
1%
Ratinho Júnior 43%
Renan Santos 32%
Romeu Zema 8%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8%
$14,790 Vol.
$14,790 Vol.

Ratinho Júnior
43%

Renan Santos
32%

Romeu Zema
8%

Flávio Bolsonaro
8%

Tarcisio de Freitas
5%

Ronaldo Caiado
5%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
3%

Geraldo Alckmin
2%

Fernando Haddad
2%

Jair Bolsonaro
2%

Michelle Bolsonaro
2%

Camilo Santana
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado abierto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Ratinho Júnior at 42.5% for third place in Brazil's 2026 presidential election first round, reflecting his strong polling as a center-right governor of Paraná amid scenarios where Tarcísio de Freitas and a left-wing frontrunner like Lula or Haddad secure the top two spots. Renan Santos trails at 31.5%, buoyed by emerging regional support and buzz in early surveys positioning him as a dark horse conservative. Recent developments include high approval ratings for governors like Ratinho and Tarcísio following effective state-level governance on economy and security, contrasted by lower odds for Bolsonaro family members due to legal hurdles. Upcoming nationwide polls and potential endorsements could shift these implied probabilities, underscoring the race's fluidity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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