Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at 100% implied probability following the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom announcement on April 29, 2026, cutting the benchmark by 25 basis points to 14.5%—the second consecutive easing after March's reduction from 15% to 14.75%. This reflects softening economic activity, controlled inflation trajectory per recent IPCA-15 data, and Copom's assessment of convergence toward the 3% target despite global risks like Middle East tensions. The unanimous decision reinforces monetary policy normalization amid a cooling labor market and fiscal pressures. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal post-announcement, though sharper inflation surprises or geopolitical shocks could prompt a hawkish reassessment at the next June Copom meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDisminuir 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Sin cambio <1%
$580,136 Vol.
$580,136 Vol.
28 abr 2026
Aumento
No
Sin cambio
No
Disminuir
Sí
Disminuir 100.0%
Aumento <1%
Sin cambio <1%
$580,136 Vol.
$580,136 Vol.
28 abr 2026
Aumento
$296,688 Vol.
No
Sin cambio
$155,928 Vol.
No
Disminuir
$127,520 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at 100% implied probability following the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom announcement on April 29, 2026, cutting the benchmark by 25 basis points to 14.5%—the second consecutive easing after March's reduction from 15% to 14.75%. This reflects softening economic activity, controlled inflation trajectory per recent IPCA-15 data, and Copom's assessment of convergence toward the 3% target despite global risks like Middle East tensions. The unanimous decision reinforces monetary policy normalization amid a cooling labor market and fiscal pressures. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal post-announcement, though sharper inflation surprises or geopolitical shocks could prompt a hawkish reassessment at the next June Copom meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volumen
$580,136Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at 100% implied probability following the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom announcement on April 29, 2026, cutting the benchmark by 25 basis points to 14.5%—the second consecutive easing after March's reduction from 15% to 14.75%. This reflects softening economic activity, controlled inflation trajectory per recent IPCA-15 data, and Copom's assessment of convergence toward the 3% target despite global risks like Middle East tensions. The unanimous decision reinforces monetary policy normalization amid a cooling labor market and fiscal pressures. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal post-announcement, though sharper inflation surprises or geopolitical shocks could prompt a hawkish reassessment at the next June Copom meeting.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$580,136Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a Selic rate decrease at 100% implied probability following the Banco Central do Brasil's Copom announcement on April 29, 2026, cutting the benchmark by 25 basis points to 14.5%—the second consecutive easing after March's reduction from 15% to 14.75%. This reflects softening economic activity, controlled inflation trajectory per recent IPCA-15 data, and Copom's assessment of convergence toward the 3% target despite global risks like Middle East tensions. The unanimous decision reinforces monetary policy normalization amid a cooling labor market and fiscal pressures. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal post-announcement, though sharper inflation surprises or geopolitical shocks could prompt a hawkish reassessment at the next June Copom meeting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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