Brazil's central bank has anchored expectations for another 25-basis-point Selic cut at the June 15-16 Copom meeting after its unanimous April 29 reduction to 14.50 percent, driving the 82.5 percent market-implied probability of a decrease. Moderating domestic growth, a resilient labor market, and elevated geopolitical uncertainties from Middle East tensions have supported the gradual easing path despite headline inflation and 2026 expectations remaining above the 3 percent target midpoint. The Focus survey's consensus for further cuts this year reinforces trader positioning, while the absence of hawkish signals keeps the odds of an increase near zero and no-change as the main alternative should incoming data prompt a pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 83%
Sin cambios 16.3%
Aumentar <1%
$150,669 Vol.
$150,669 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
<1%
Sin cambios
16%
Disminuir
83%
Disminuir 83%
Sin cambios 16.3%
Aumentar <1%
$150,669 Vol.
$150,669 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$42,605 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$39,319 Vol.
16%
Disminuir
$68,745 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank has anchored expectations for another 25-basis-point Selic cut at the June 15-16 Copom meeting after its unanimous April 29 reduction to 14.50 percent, driving the 82.5 percent market-implied probability of a decrease. Moderating domestic growth, a resilient labor market, and elevated geopolitical uncertainties from Middle East tensions have supported the gradual easing path despite headline inflation and 2026 expectations remaining above the 3 percent target midpoint. The Focus survey's consensus for further cuts this year reinforces trader positioning, while the absence of hawkish signals keeps the odds of an increase near zero and no-change as the main alternative should incoming data prompt a pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$150,669Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank has anchored expectations for another 25-basis-point Selic cut at the June 15-16 Copom meeting after its unanimous April 29 reduction to 14.50 percent, driving the 82.5 percent market-implied probability of a decrease. Moderating domestic growth, a resilient labor market, and elevated geopolitical uncertainties from Middle East tensions have supported the gradual easing path despite headline inflation and 2026 expectations remaining above the 3 percent target midpoint. The Focus survey's consensus for further cuts this year reinforces trader positioning, while the absence of hawkish signals keeps the odds of an increase near zero and no-change as the main alternative should incoming data prompt a pause.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$150,669Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank has anchored expectations for another 25-basis-point Selic cut at the June 15-16 Copom meeting after its unanimous April 29 reduction to 14.50 percent, driving the 82.5 percent market-implied probability of a decrease. Moderating domestic growth, a resilient labor market, and elevated geopolitical uncertainties from Middle East tensions have supported the gradual easing path despite headline inflation and 2026 expectations remaining above the 3 percent target midpoint. The Focus survey's consensus for further cuts this year reinforces trader positioning, while the absence of hawkish signals keeps the odds of an increase near zero and no-change as the main alternative should incoming data prompt a pause.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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