Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 18 inaugural 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing move after prolonged hikes and holds—signaling a new monetary policy phase amid persistent above-target inflation. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating 0.88% month-on-month due to fuel price shocks from global tensions, core pressures have eased, and the latest Focus survey holds end-2026 Selic forecasts at 12.5%, implying roughly 225 basis points of further cuts. Economic activity expanded modestly via February's 0.6% IBC-Br gain, supporting gradual normalization; the April 29 Copom and impending IPCA data loom as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 87%
Sin cambios 10%
Aumentar 3.5%
$23,622 Vol.
$23,622 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
4%
Sin cambios
10%
Disminuir
87%
Disminuir 87%
Sin cambios 10%
Aumentar 3.5%
$23,622 Vol.
$23,622 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$12,654 Vol.
4%
Sin cambios
$4,056 Vol.
10%
Disminuir
$6,912 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 18 inaugural 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing move after prolonged hikes and holds—signaling a new monetary policy phase amid persistent above-target inflation. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating 0.88% month-on-month due to fuel price shocks from global tensions, core pressures have eased, and the latest Focus survey holds end-2026 Selic forecasts at 12.5%, implying roughly 225 basis points of further cuts. Economic activity expanded modestly via February's 0.6% IBC-Br gain, supporting gradual normalization; the April 29 Copom and impending IPCA data loom as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$23,622Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 18 inaugural 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing move after prolonged hikes and holds—signaling a new monetary policy phase amid persistent above-target inflation. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating 0.88% month-on-month due to fuel price shocks from global tensions, core pressures have eased, and the latest Focus survey holds end-2026 Selic forecasts at 12.5%, implying roughly 225 basis points of further cuts. Economic activity expanded modestly via February's 0.6% IBC-Br gain, supporting gradual normalization; the April 29 Copom and impending IPCA data loom as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$23,622Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87% implied probability for a Selic rate decrease at the Banco Central do Brasil's June 2026 Copom meeting, driven by the committee's March 18 inaugural 25 basis point cut to 14.75%—the first easing move after prolonged hikes and holds—signaling a new monetary policy phase amid persistent above-target inflation. Despite March IPCA inflation accelerating 0.88% month-on-month due to fuel price shocks from global tensions, core pressures have eased, and the latest Focus survey holds end-2026 Selic forecasts at 12.5%, implying roughly 225 basis points of further cuts. Economic activity expanded modestly via February's 0.6% IBC-Br gain, supporting gradual normalization; the April 29 Copom and impending IPCA data loom as pivotal catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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