Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an annual CPI rate of 3.7% (41%) or 3.8% (36%) for April 2026, reflecting a closely contested market centered on economist forecasts following March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions. Sticky shelter costs and persistent core inflation at 2.6% year-over-year have elevated expectations to around 3.7% headline, per recent previews, while one-year-ahead inflation expectations ticked up to 3.6%. Key differentiators include April's month-over-month trajectory, with consensus eyeing 0.6% headline and 0.3% core gains. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swayed by fresh energy or housing data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$375,139 Vol.
$375,139 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
1%
3,2%
<1%
3,3%
<1%
3,4%
<1%
3,5%
3%
3,6%
16%
3,7%
41%
3,8%
36%
3,9%
5%
4,0 %
1%
≥4,1%
1%
$375,139 Vol.
$375,139 Vol.
12 may 2026
≤3,1%
$22,420 Vol.
1%
3,2%
$15,832 Vol.
<1%
3,3%
$14,886 Vol.
<1%
3,4%
$16,642 Vol.
<1%
3,5%
$32,896 Vol.
3%
3,6%
$42,820 Vol.
16%
3,7%
$51,906 Vol.
41%
3,8%
$74,963 Vol.
36%
3,9%
$52,290 Vol.
5%
4,0 %
$23,717 Vol.
1%
≥4,1%
$26,767 Vol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an annual CPI rate of 3.7% (41%) or 3.8% (36%) for April 2026, reflecting a closely contested market centered on economist forecasts following March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions. Sticky shelter costs and persistent core inflation at 2.6% year-over-year have elevated expectations to around 3.7% headline, per recent previews, while one-year-ahead inflation expectations ticked up to 3.6%. Key differentiators include April's month-over-month trajectory, with consensus eyeing 0.6% headline and 0.3% core gains. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swayed by fresh energy or housing data.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$375,139Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an annual CPI rate of 3.7% (41%) or 3.8% (36%) for April 2026, reflecting a closely contested market centered on economist forecasts following March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions. Sticky shelter costs and persistent core inflation at 2.6% year-over-year have elevated expectations to around 3.7% headline, per recent previews, while one-year-ahead inflation expectations ticked up to 3.6%. Key differentiators include April's month-over-month trajectory, with consensus eyeing 0.6% headline and 0.3% core gains. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swayed by fresh energy or housing data.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$375,139Fecha de finalización
12 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an annual CPI rate of 3.7% (41%) or 3.8% (36%) for April 2026, reflecting a closely contested market centered on economist forecasts following March's hotter-than-expected 3.3% print—up from 2.4%—driven by a 10.9% energy surge amid geopolitical tensions. Sticky shelter costs and persistent core inflation at 2.6% year-over-year have elevated expectations to around 3.7% headline, per recent previews, while one-year-ahead inflation expectations ticked up to 3.6%. Key differentiators include April's month-over-month trajectory, with consensus eyeing 0.6% headline and 0.3% core gains. Resolution hinges on tomorrow's Bureau of Labor Statistics release at 8:30 a.m. ET, potentially swayed by fresh energy or housing data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes