Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation in a narrow band around the Bank of Korea's 2% target, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—2.1%-2.3% leading at 28.2%, trailed closely by 1.8%-2.0% (26%) and 2.4%-2.6% (25%)—reflecting balanced risks amid February's headline CPI holding steady at 2.0% y/y, below 2.1% expectations, while core inflation rose to 2.3% on firmer services (2.6%). BoK's February outlook projects 2.2% CPI for the year, aligning with ING's revised 2.2% forecast, though Standard Chartered sees 2.4% on elevated oil amid Middle East tensions and KRW weakness near 1,473/USD. Key differentiators include oil pass-through persistence versus government subsidies and subdued domestic demand; March CPI due April 1 could sway positioning ahead of the next BoK review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1,8% a 2,0% 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 25%
3,0%+ 24%
1,5% a 1,7% 22%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5%
18%
1,5% a 1,7%
22%
1,8% a 2,0%
26%
2,1% a 2,3%
21%
2,4% a 2,6%
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
19%
3,0%+
24%
1,8% a 2,0% 26%
2,4% a 2,6% 25%
3,0%+ 24%
1,5% a 1,7% 22%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<1,5%
$0 Vol.
18%
1,5% a 1,7%
$517 Vol.
22%
1,8% a 2,0%
$0 Vol.
26%
2,1% a 2,3%
$0 Vol.
21%
2,4% a 2,6%
$0 Vol.
25%
2,7% a 2,9%
$0 Vol.
19%
3,0%+
$3,634 Vol.
24%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation in a narrow band around the Bank of Korea's 2% target, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—2.1%-2.3% leading at 28.2%, trailed closely by 1.8%-2.0% (26%) and 2.4%-2.6% (25%)—reflecting balanced risks amid February's headline CPI holding steady at 2.0% y/y, below 2.1% expectations, while core inflation rose to 2.3% on firmer services (2.6%). BoK's February outlook projects 2.2% CPI for the year, aligning with ING's revised 2.2% forecast, though Standard Chartered sees 2.4% on elevated oil amid Middle East tensions and KRW weakness near 1,473/USD. Key differentiators include oil pass-through persistence versus government subsidies and subdued domestic demand; March CPI due April 1 could sway positioning ahead of the next BoK review.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$4,151Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation in a narrow band around the Bank of Korea's 2% target, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—2.1%-2.3% leading at 28.2%, trailed closely by 1.8%-2.0% (26%) and 2.4%-2.6% (25%)—reflecting balanced risks amid February's headline CPI holding steady at 2.0% y/y, below 2.1% expectations, while core inflation rose to 2.3% on firmer services (2.6%). BoK's February outlook projects 2.2% CPI for the year, aligning with ING's revised 2.2% forecast, though Standard Chartered sees 2.4% on elevated oil amid Middle East tensions and KRW weakness near 1,473/USD. Key differentiators include oil pass-through persistence versus government subsidies and subdued domestic demand; March CPI due April 1 could sway positioning ahead of the next BoK review.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Volumen
$4,151Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price South Korea's 2026 annual CPI inflation in a narrow band around the Bank of Korea's 2% target, with market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—2.1%-2.3% leading at 28.2%, trailed closely by 1.8%-2.0% (26%) and 2.4%-2.6% (25%)—reflecting balanced risks amid February's headline CPI holding steady at 2.0% y/y, below 2.1% expectations, while core inflation rose to 2.3% on firmer services (2.6%). BoK's February outlook projects 2.2% CPI for the year, aligning with ING's revised 2.2% forecast, though Standard Chartered sees 2.4% on elevated oil amid Middle East tensions and KRW weakness near 1,473/USD. Key differentiators include oil pass-through persistence versus government subsidies and subdued domestic demand; March CPI due April 1 could sway positioning ahead of the next BoK review.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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