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Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?

Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?

Ended: mar 31

abr 30

Ended: mar 31

abr 30

Aumento 100.0%

Disminución <1%

Sin cambios <1%

Polymarket

$168,888 Vol.

Aumento 100.0%

Disminución <1%

Sin cambios <1%

Polymarket

$168,888 Vol.

Disminución

$142,004 Vol.

No

Sin cambios

$10,000 Vol.

No

Aumento

$16,883 Vol.

Sí

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$168,888
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a 100% implied probability for the Banco de la República to increase its benchmark policy rate at the March 31, 2026, meeting, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures despite a slight February CPI moderation to 5.29% annually from January's 5.35%—still well above the 3% target—and elevated core inflation at 5.53%. This follows the central bank's aggressive January 100 basis point hike to 10.25%, driven by resilient demand, minimum wage effects, and upward inflation expectations. The board's majority vote confirmed the second consecutive full-point increase to 11.25%, overriding Finance Minister Germán Ávila's protest walkout amid government opposition. Realistic challenges appear minimal post-decision, barring resolution disputes, with minutes release on April 8 offering further insight into policy path amid upcoming April inflation data.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos.

This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$168,888
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its March 31, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aumento" con 100%, seguido de "Disminución" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?" ha generado $168.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 23, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?" es "Aumento" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Disminución" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.