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Economía·Ocultar De Nuevo

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?

Market icon
Economía·Ocultar De Nuevo

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?

582 - 589k 49%

596 - 603k 49%

603 - 610k 49%

>610k 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

582 - 589k 49%

596 - 603k 49%

603 - 610k 49%

>610k 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<568k

$0 Vol.

48%

568 - 575k

$0 Vol.

45%

575 - 582k

$0 Vol.

47%

582 - 589k

$0 Vol.

49%

589 - 596k

$0 Vol.

45%

596 - 603k

$0 Vol.

49%

603 - 610k

$0 Vol.

49%

>610k

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices even probabilities across 575k-610k bins for New York City median home value on April 30, signaling deep uncertainty in a stable but rangebound housing market. February 2026 Redfin data shows NYC median sale prices at $880,000, up 2.3% year-over-year amid 7.5% lower sales volume and 72 median days on market, while Zillow's ZHVI for New York, NY holds at $812,534 as of late February, reflecting +4.0% annual growth. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% suppress demand, offsetting tight inventory in the metro area (down 9.3% YoY to 2.9 months' supply). Key swing factors include spring buying season momentum, potential inventory upticks in Manhattan (now 6.2 months for condos), and Fed policy signals ahead of May FOMC that could ease borrowing costs.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26) Trader consensus on Polymarket prices even probabilities across 575k-610k bins for New York City median home value on April 30, signaling deep uncertainty in a stable but rangebound housing market. February 2026 Redfin data shows NYC median sale prices at $880,000, up 2.3% year-over-year amid 7.5% lower sales volume and 72 median days on market, while Zillow's ZHVI for New York, NY holds at $812,534 as of late February, reflecting +4.0% annual growth. Elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% suppress demand, offsetting tight inventory in the metro area (down 9.3% YoY to 2.9 months' supply). Key swing factors include spring buying season momentum, potential inventory upticks in Manhattan (now 6.2 months for condos), and Fed policy signals ahead of May FOMC that could ease borrowing costs.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/26)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "582 - 589k" con 49%, seguido de "596 - 603k" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?" es "582 - 589k" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "596 - 603k" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.