Polymarket's razor-thin contest between ≥3.4% (41.0%) and 3.3% (38.5%) for March headline CPI year-over-year reflects trader consensus for a modest acceleration from February's sticky 2.4% print, driven by a 0.5% annual energy rebound—reversing prior tailwinds—and persistent 3.0% shelter inflation per BLS data. FOMC March 18 projections lifted 2026 PCE and core PCE medians to 2.7% each, up from December, underscoring broader price pressures amid tariff passthrough risks, while Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.16% and UMich expectations jumping to 3.8% bolster higher-bracket sentiment. Differentiators hinge on March monthly energy volatility and core services momentum ahead of the April 10 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado≥3,4% 41.0%
3,3% 38.5%
3,2% 13%
3,1% 3.1%
$871,706 Vol.
$871,706 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2.6%
1%
2,7%
1%
2,8%
1%
2,9%
1%
3,0%
1%
3,1%
3%
3,2%
13%
3,3%
38%
≥3,4%
41%
≥3,4% 41.0%
3,3% 38.5%
3,2% 13%
3,1% 3.1%
$871,706 Vol.
$871,706 Vol.
10 abr 2026
≤2.6%
$107,474 Vol.
1%
2,7%
$104,735 Vol.
1%
2,8%
$49,567 Vol.
1%
2,9%
$47,049 Vol.
1%
3,0%
$50,456 Vol.
1%
3,1%
$69,919 Vol.
3%
3,2%
$45,720 Vol.
13%
3,3%
$166,404 Vol.
38%
≥3,4%
$230,381 Vol.
41%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket's razor-thin contest between ≥3.4% (41.0%) and 3.3% (38.5%) for March headline CPI year-over-year reflects trader consensus for a modest acceleration from February's sticky 2.4% print, driven by a 0.5% annual energy rebound—reversing prior tailwinds—and persistent 3.0% shelter inflation per BLS data. FOMC March 18 projections lifted 2026 PCE and core PCE medians to 2.7% each, up from December, underscoring broader price pressures amid tariff passthrough risks, while Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.16% and UMich expectations jumping to 3.8% bolster higher-bracket sentiment. Differentiators hinge on March monthly energy volatility and core services momentum ahead of the April 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volumen
$871,706Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket's razor-thin contest between ≥3.4% (41.0%) and 3.3% (38.5%) for March headline CPI year-over-year reflects trader consensus for a modest acceleration from February's sticky 2.4% print, driven by a 0.5% annual energy rebound—reversing prior tailwinds—and persistent 3.0% shelter inflation per BLS data. FOMC March 18 projections lifted 2026 PCE and core PCE medians to 2.7% each, up from December, underscoring broader price pressures amid tariff passthrough risks, while Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.16% and UMich expectations jumping to 3.8% bolster higher-bracket sentiment. Differentiators hinge on March monthly energy volatility and core services momentum ahead of the April 10 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending March 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in March 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on April 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$871,706Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's razor-thin contest between ≥3.4% (41.0%) and 3.3% (38.5%) for March headline CPI year-over-year reflects trader consensus for a modest acceleration from February's sticky 2.4% print, driven by a 0.5% annual energy rebound—reversing prior tailwinds—and persistent 3.0% shelter inflation per BLS data. FOMC March 18 projections lifted 2026 PCE and core PCE medians to 2.7% each, up from December, underscoring broader price pressures amid tariff passthrough risks, while Cleveland Fed nowcast at 3.16% and UMich expectations jumping to 3.8% bolster higher-bracket sentiment. Differentiators hinge on March monthly energy volatility and core services momentum ahead of the April 10 release.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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