Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the March 2026 U.S. average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs in the $2.25–2.50 range at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting the downward trajectory revealed in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' February CPI data released March 11, which clocked in at $2.50 per dozen—down 3% from January's $2.577 amid robust flock recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks. Supporting this positioning, USDA reports show wholesale prices plunging to $0.77/dozen by March 31, driven by nine million more laying hens versus prior year and lighter highly pathogenic avian influenza detections, with forecasts anticipating a 27% annual retail decline. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 28% captures mild rebound risks, while higher tiers languish below 5% on abundant supply signals; watch BLS March CPI release on April 10 for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPrice of Dozen Eggs in March?
Price of Dozen Eggs in March?
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 5.5%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,569 Vol.
$386,569 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
$2.25–2.50 59%
$2.50–2.75 28%
$2.00–2.25 5.5%
$2.75–3.00 4.3%
$386,569 Vol.
$386,569 Vol.
<$2.00
2%
$2.00–2.25
6%
$2.25–2.50
59%
$2.50–2.75
28%
$2.75–3.00
4%
$3.00–3.25
1%
$3.25–3.50
<1%
$3.50–3.75
1%
$3.75–4.00
<1%
≥$4.00
<1%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The March release is presently scheduled for April 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the March 2026 U.S. average retail price for a dozen Grade A large eggs in the $2.25–2.50 range at 58.5% implied probability, reflecting the downward trajectory revealed in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' February CPI data released March 11, which clocked in at $2.50 per dozen—down 3% from January's $2.577 amid robust flock recovery from 2025 avian flu outbreaks. Supporting this positioning, USDA reports show wholesale prices plunging to $0.77/dozen by March 31, driven by nine million more laying hens versus prior year and lighter highly pathogenic avian influenza detections, with forecasts anticipating a 27% annual retail decline. The adjacent $2.50–2.75 bin at 28% captures mild rebound risks, while higher tiers languish below 5% on abundant supply signals; watch BLS March CPI release on April 10 for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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