Trader sentiment on Argentina's March monthly inflation clusters tightly around 2.5–3.0%, reflecting optimism for sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, after February's 13.2% print slowed from January's 20.6%. Leading bins at 33% (2.8–3.0%) and 31% (2.5–2.7%) hinge on the pace of regulated price pass-throughs and utility adjustments, with Buenos Aires' leading CPI (often 2–3pp higher) signaling potential upside risks to 3.1%+. Private forecasts from EcoGo (3.1%) and Elypsis (2.8%) underscore the contest, as real capital bets on INDEC's April 12 release validate if Milei's zero-deficit pivot accelerates annual inflation toward 150–200% from 289% last year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArgentina Monthly Inflation - March
Argentina Monthly Inflation - March
2.8–3.0% 33%
2.5–2.7% 33%
2.2–2.4% 25%
3.1–3.3% 23%
≤2.1%
11%
2.2–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.7%
33%
2.8–3.0%
33%
3.1–3.3%
23%
3.4–3.6%
17%
3.7%+
12%
2.8–3.0% 33%
2.5–2.7% 33%
2.2–2.4% 25%
3.1–3.3% 23%
≤2.1%
11%
2.2–2.4%
25%
2.5–2.7%
33%
2.8–3.0%
33%
3.1–3.3%
23%
3.4–3.6%
17%
3.7%+
12%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Argentina's March monthly inflation clusters tightly around 2.5–3.0%, reflecting optimism for sustained disinflation under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, after February's 13.2% print slowed from January's 20.6%. Leading bins at 33% (2.8–3.0%) and 31% (2.5–2.7%) hinge on the pace of regulated price pass-throughs and utility adjustments, with Buenos Aires' leading CPI (often 2–3pp higher) signaling potential upside risks to 3.1%+. Private forecasts from EcoGo (3.1%) and Elypsis (2.8%) underscore the contest, as real capital bets on INDEC's April 12 release validate if Milei's zero-deficit pivot accelerates annual inflation toward 150–200% from 289% last year.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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