Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high confidence that President Javier Milei will complete his term ending December 2027, driven by the absence of any active impeachment proceedings or viable congressional path to removal—requiring a two-thirds Senate vote amid his fragmented opposition. Recent polls show approval dipping to a new low of 36% in March 2026 amid rising unemployment and economic pressures, yet Milei continues advancing reforms, including labor changes passed by the lower house in February and fiscal consolidation with budget surpluses. Cabinet adjustments, like the Justice Minister's resignation earlier this month, remain routine. No scandals, no-confidence motions, or resignation signals have emerged in the past 30 days to shift odds, underscoring constitutional stability over short-term popularity dips.