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Geopolítica·Argentina

¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Argentina

¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Sí

9% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sí

9% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Javier Milei's strong midterm election victory in October 2025, where La Libertad Avanza secured over 40% of the vote and bolstered its congressional foothold, underpins trader consensus at 90.8% against his removal before 2027. Recent legislative successes, including Senate passage of contentious labor reforms on February 27, 2026, demonstrate his ability to advance an austerity agenda despite union strikes and over 500 official resignations earlier this year. While March polls show approval plunging to a record-low 36.4% amid rising unemployment and corruption allegations against close aides, no impeachment proceedings have advanced—requiring two-thirds approval in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate trial—leaving significant institutional barriers intact through his term's end.

President Javier Milei's strong midterm election victory in October 2025, where La Libertad Avanza secured over 40% of the vote and bolstered its congressional foothold, underpins trader consensus at 90.8% against his removal before 2027. Recent legislative successes, including Senate passage of contentious labor reforms on February 27, 2026, demonstrate his ability to advance an austerity agenda despite union strikes and over 500 official resignations earlier this year. While March polls show approval plunging to a record-low 36.4% amid rising unemployment and corruption allegations against close aides, no impeachment proceedings have advanced—requiring two-thirds approval in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate trial—leaving significant institutional barriers intact through his term's end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Javier Milei's strong midterm election victory in October 2025, where La Libertad Avanza secured over 40% of the vote and bolstered its congressional foothold, underpins trader consensus at 90.8% against his removal before 2027. Recent legislative successes, including Senate passage of contentious labor reforms on February 27, 2026, demonstrate his ability to advance an austerity agenda despite union strikes and over 500 official resignations earlier this year. While March polls show approval plunging to a record-low 36.4% amid rising unemployment and corruption allegations against close aides, no impeachment proceedings have advanced—requiring two-thirds approval in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate trial—leaving significant institutional barriers intact through his term's end.

President Javier Milei's strong midterm election victory in October 2025, where La Libertad Avanza secured over 40% of the vote and bolstered its congressional foothold, underpins trader consensus at 90.8% against his removal before 2027. Recent legislative successes, including Senate passage of contentious labor reforms on February 27, 2026, demonstrate his ability to advance an austerity agenda despite union strikes and over 500 official resignations earlier this year. While March polls show approval plunging to a record-low 36.4% amid rising unemployment and corruption allegations against close aides, no impeachment proceedings have advanced—requiring two-thirds approval in the Chamber of Deputies and Senate trial—leaving significant institutional barriers intact through his term's end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Milei fuera como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 5, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" es "¿Milei fuera como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" con solo 9%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Milei como presidente de Argentina antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.