Recent acceleration in China’s consumer price index to 1.2% year-over-year in April 2026, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated global energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.1–1.5% annual range as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption, subdued food prices, and ongoing producer price deflation continue to cap upside, while “anti-involution” measures and modest fiscal support limit the risk of deeper deflationary spirals. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with external geopolitical factors providing the primary near-term reflationary impulse against a backdrop of structurally soft demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the May and June CPI releases, which could clarify whether the April uptick represents a sustained shift or a temporary pass-through effect.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoInflación anual de China 2026
Inflación anual de China 2026
1,1 – 1,5% 40%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.1%
0,6 – 1,0% 17%
2.5%+ 7.1%
$42,979 Vol.
$42,979 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
33%
-0,4 – 0,0%
5%
0.1 – 0.5%
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
17%
1,1 – 1,5%
40%
1.6 – 2.0%
18%
2.0-2.4%
9%
2.5%+
7%
1,1 – 1,5% 40%
1.6 – 2.0% 18.1%
0,6 – 1,0% 17%
2.5%+ 7.1%
$42,979 Vol.
$42,979 Vol.
10 ene 2027
<-1,0%
$18,273 Vol.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,645 Vol.
33%
-0,4 – 0,0%
$3,480 Vol.
5%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,902 Vol.
3%
0,6 – 1,0%
$2,993 Vol.
17%
1,1 – 1,5%
$3,511 Vol.
40%
1.6 – 2.0%
$4,015 Vol.
18%
2.0-2.4%
$2,600 Vol.
9%
2.5%+
$2,562 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent acceleration in China’s consumer price index to 1.2% year-over-year in April 2026, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated global energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.1–1.5% annual range as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption, subdued food prices, and ongoing producer price deflation continue to cap upside, while “anti-involution” measures and modest fiscal support limit the risk of deeper deflationary spirals. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with external geopolitical factors providing the primary near-term reflationary impulse against a backdrop of structurally soft demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the May and June CPI releases, which could clarify whether the April uptick represents a sustained shift or a temporary pass-through effect.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Mercado abierto: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volumen
$42,979Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent acceleration in China’s consumer price index to 1.2% year-over-year in April 2026, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated global energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.1–1.5% annual range as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption, subdued food prices, and ongoing producer price deflation continue to cap upside, while “anti-involution” measures and modest fiscal support limit the risk of deeper deflationary spirals. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with external geopolitical factors providing the primary near-term reflationary impulse against a backdrop of structurally soft demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the May and June CPI releases, which could clarify whether the April uptick represents a sustained shift or a temporary pass-through effect.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volumen
$42,979Fecha de finalización
10 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent acceleration in China’s consumer price index to 1.2% year-over-year in April 2026, driven by higher non-food and transport costs amid elevated global energy prices and Middle East supply disruptions, has anchored trader sentiment toward the 1.1–1.5% annual range as the leading outcome. Persistent weakness in domestic consumption, subdued food prices, and ongoing producer price deflation continue to cap upside, while “anti-involution” measures and modest fiscal support limit the risk of deeper deflationary spirals. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, with external geopolitical factors providing the primary near-term reflationary impulse against a backdrop of structurally soft demand. Key upcoming catalysts include the May and June CPI releases, which could clarify whether the April uptick represents a sustained shift or a temporary pass-through effect.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes