Recent Japan core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing similar levels amid energy subsidy offsets and moderate cost pass-through. This keeps the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% ranges in close contest at 53% and 45.5% implied probabilities, respectively. Traders weigh yen depreciation, Middle East-driven oil pressures, and firms' wage-price dynamics against the Bank of Japan's baseline outlook for underlying inflation approaching but not clearly exceeding 2%. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and any further BOJ communications on policy normalization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado≤1,9% 53.0%
2.0-2.4% 45%
2,5-2,9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,586 Vol.
$40,586 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
53%
2.0-2.4%
45%
2,5-2,9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3,5-3,9 %
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1,9% 53.0%
2.0-2.4% 45%
2,5-2,9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,586 Vol.
$40,586 Vol.
22 ene 2027
≤1,9%
$19,202 Vol.
53%
2.0-2.4%
$11,371 Vol.
45%
2,5-2,9%
$5,548 Vol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
3,5-3,9 %
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing similar levels amid energy subsidy offsets and moderate cost pass-through. This keeps the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% ranges in close contest at 53% and 45.5% implied probabilities, respectively. Traders weigh yen depreciation, Middle East-driven oil pressures, and firms' wage-price dynamics against the Bank of Japan's baseline outlook for underlying inflation approaching but not clearly exceeding 2%. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and any further BOJ communications on policy normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$40,586Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing similar levels amid energy subsidy offsets and moderate cost pass-through. This keeps the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% ranges in close contest at 53% and 45.5% implied probabilities, respectively. Traders weigh yen depreciation, Middle East-driven oil pressures, and firms' wage-price dynamics against the Bank of Japan's baseline outlook for underlying inflation approaching but not clearly exceeding 2%. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and any further BOJ communications on policy normalization.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$40,586Fecha de finalización
22 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core CPI readings have held near 1.8% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo data showing similar levels amid energy subsidy offsets and moderate cost pass-through. This keeps the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% ranges in close contest at 53% and 45.5% implied probabilities, respectively. Traders weigh yen depreciation, Middle East-driven oil pressures, and firms' wage-price dynamics against the Bank of Japan's baseline outlook for underlying inflation approaching but not clearly exceeding 2%. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and any further BOJ communications on policy normalization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes