Japan's core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has hovered near 1.9% year-over-year in mid-2026 readings amid moderating energy costs from government subsidies and fading base effects, while underlying measures tracked by the Bank of Japan reflect firmer demand-driven pressures near or above the 2% target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.0-2.4% bracket for the full-year 2026 figure reflects the BOJ's July outlook projecting acceleration above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by ongoing wage pass-through, yen depreciation, and crude oil price effects from Middle East tensions. Recent Tokyo core-core prints around 1.8-2.0% and analyst projections near 1.8-2.0% for the year reinforce this range, though risks from persistent cost pressures or subsidy extensions keep a meaningful probability on outcomes at or below 1.9%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
2.5-2.9% <1%
3,0-3,4% <1%
$43,662 Vol.
$43,662 Vol.
12 feb 2027
≤1.9%
30%
2.0-2.4%
69%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0-3,4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0 %+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 69%
≤1.9% 30%
2.5-2.9% <1%
3,0-3,4% <1%
$43,662 Vol.
$43,662 Vol.
12 feb 2027
≤1.9%
$12,676 Vol.
30%
2.0-2.4%
$17,280 Vol.
69%
2.5-2.9%
$9,457 Vol.
1%
3,0-3,4%
$1,341 Vol.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
4,0 %+
$1,582 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan's core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has hovered near 1.9% year-over-year in mid-2026 readings amid moderating energy costs from government subsidies and fading base effects, while underlying measures tracked by the Bank of Japan reflect firmer demand-driven pressures near or above the 2% target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.0-2.4% bracket for the full-year 2026 figure reflects the BOJ's July outlook projecting acceleration above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by ongoing wage pass-through, yen depreciation, and crude oil price effects from Middle East tensions. Recent Tokyo core-core prints around 1.8-2.0% and analyst projections near 1.8-2.0% for the year reinforce this range, though risks from persistent cost pressures or subsidy extensions keep a meaningful probability on outcomes at or below 1.9%.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volumen
$43,662Fecha de finalización
12 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan's core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has hovered near 1.9% year-over-year in mid-2026 readings amid moderating energy costs from government subsidies and fading base effects, while underlying measures tracked by the Bank of Japan reflect firmer demand-driven pressures near or above the 2% target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.0-2.4% bracket for the full-year 2026 figure reflects the BOJ's July outlook projecting acceleration above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by ongoing wage pass-through, yen depreciation, and crude oil price effects from Middle East tensions. Recent Tokyo core-core prints around 1.8-2.0% and analyst projections near 1.8-2.0% for the year reinforce this range, though risks from persistent cost pressures or subsidy extensions keep a meaningful probability on outcomes at or below 1.9%.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Volumen
$43,662Fecha de finalización
12 feb 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan's core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has hovered near 1.9% year-over-year in mid-2026 readings amid moderating energy costs from government subsidies and fading base effects, while underlying measures tracked by the Bank of Japan reflect firmer demand-driven pressures near or above the 2% target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.0-2.4% bracket for the full-year 2026 figure reflects the BOJ's July outlook projecting acceleration above 2% in the second half of fiscal 2026, driven by ongoing wage pass-through, yen depreciation, and crude oil price effects from Middle East tensions. Recent Tokyo core-core prints around 1.8-2.0% and analyst projections near 1.8-2.0% for the year reinforce this range, though risks from persistent cost pressures or subsidy extensions keep a meaningful probability on outcomes at or below 1.9%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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