The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado3,4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3,2% <1%
3,3% <1%
$649,479 Vol.
$649,479 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤3.1%
No
3,2%
No
3,3%
No
3,4%
Sí
3.5%
No
3,6%
No
3,7%
No
3,8%
No
3,9%
No
4,0%
No
4,1%
No
≥4,2%
No
3,4% 100.0%
≤3.1% <1%
3,2% <1%
3,3% <1%
$649,479 Vol.
$649,479 Vol.
12 ago 2026
≤3.1%
$59,103 Vol.
No
3,2%
$50,191 Vol.
No
3,3%
$112,144 Vol.
No
3,4%
$108,549 Vol.
Sí
3.5%
$81,345 Vol.
No
3,6%
$50,503 Vol.
No
3,7%
$42,968 Vol.
No
3,8%
$35,572 Vol.
No
3,9%
$32,770 Vol.
No
4,0%
$26,540 Vol.
No
4,1%
$25,137 Vol.
No
≥4,2%
$24,657 Vol.
No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volumen
$649,479Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$649,479Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The official Bureau of Labor Statistics release on August 12, 2026, confirmed the July 2026 annual CPI inflation rate at exactly 3.4 percent year over year, aligning with consensus forecasts and driving the market-implied probability to 100 percent. This outcome reflects continued moderation in energy prices amid easing effects from prior geopolitical shocks, alongside modest deceleration in shelter costs to 3.2 percent and stable food inflation at 3 percent, with the monthly CPI rising just 0.1 percent. Core inflation also matched expectations at 2.5 percent annually. While the data release eliminates near-term uncertainty, potential revisions in subsequent BLS updates or unexpected shifts in upcoming monthly components could still influence related rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes