Market icon
Economía·Nómina No Agrícola

¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?

Market icon
Economía·Nómina No Agrícola

¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?

abr 3

abr 3

100k+ 31%

50k – 100k 23%

0 – 50 mil 22%

-50 mil – 0 12%

Polymarket

$17,145 Vol.

100k+ 31%

50k – 100k 23%

0 – 50 mil 22%

-50 mil – 0 12%

Polymarket

$17,145 Vol.

<-150k

$1,718 Vol.

3%

-150k – -100k

$1,182 Vol.

4%

-100k – -50k

$1,182 Vol.

2%

-50 mil – 0

$1,360 Vol.

12%

0 – 50 mil

$1,210 Vol.

22%

50k – 100k

$5,310 Vol.

23%

100k+

$5,183 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest March nonfarm payroll rebound at 30.5% implied probability for 100k+ jobs added, narrowly ahead of 50k-100k (22.5%) and 0-50k (22.0%), reflecting tight competition amid uncertainty following February's shocking -92,000 payroll decline—far below 50k-60k expectations—and unemployment rate rise to 4.4%. Economists' FactSet consensus hovers at +57k, with some like Capital Economics eyeing 125k on weather and strike distortions in February data, while stable initial jobless claims around 210k and rising job openings to 7 million suggest labor market resilience. Key swing factors include potential revisions and sector breakdowns in the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due early April, influencing Federal Reserve rate cut odds.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volumen
$17,145
Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest March nonfarm payroll rebound at 30.5% implied probability for 100k+ jobs added, narrowly ahead of 50k-100k (22.5%) and 0-50k (22.0%), reflecting tight competition amid uncertainty following February's shocking -92,000 payroll decline—far below 50k-60k expectations—and unemployment rate rise to 4.4%. Economists' FactSet consensus hovers at +57k, with some like Capital Economics eyeing 125k on weather and strike distortions in February data, while stable initial jobless claims around 210k and rising job openings to 7 million suggest labor market resilience. Key swing factors include potential revisions and sector breakdowns in the Bureau of Labor Statistics release due early April, influencing Federal Reserve rate cut odds.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volumen
$17,145
Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "100k+" con 31%, seguido de "50k – 100k" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 31¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?" ha generado $17.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 11, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?" es "100k+" con 31%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 31% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "50k – 100k" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuántos puestos de trabajo se han añadido en marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.