US CPI inflation remained steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February 2026, matching January levels and marking the lowest since May 2025, amid cooling core pressures. However, the FOMC's March 18 Summary of Economic Projections lifted median PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% for 2026—up from prior estimates—citing energy price surges and potential tariff effects on import costs. Core PCE expectations similarly rose to 2.7%, highlighting reacceleration risks despite anchored long-term outlooks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal firm March monthly gains, potentially elevating annual readings. Traders monitor the March CPI release on April 10 and April FOMC meeting for catalysts influencing 2026 peak inflation trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$395,524 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Por encima del 3%
99%
Por encima del 3,5%
91%
Por encima del 4%
61%
Por encima del 5%
34%
Por encima del 6%
18%
Por encima del 8%
10%
Por encima del 10%
7%
$395,524 Vol.
Por encima del 3%
$234,466 Vol.
99%
Por encima del 3,5%
$37,048 Vol.
91%
Por encima del 4%
$62,521 Vol.
61%
Por encima del 5%
$19,542 Vol.
34%
Por encima del 6%
$16,622 Vol.
18%
Por encima del 8%
$18,716 Vol.
10%
Por encima del 10%
$6,610 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.US CPI inflation remained steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February 2026, matching January levels and marking the lowest since May 2025, amid cooling core pressures. However, the FOMC's March 18 Summary of Economic Projections lifted median PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% for 2026—up from prior estimates—citing energy price surges and potential tariff effects on import costs. Core PCE expectations similarly rose to 2.7%, highlighting reacceleration risks despite anchored long-term outlooks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal firm March monthly gains, potentially elevating annual readings. Traders monitor the March CPI release on April 10 and April FOMC meeting for catalysts influencing 2026 peak inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
Volumen
$395,524Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.US CPI inflation remained steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February 2026, matching January levels and marking the lowest since May 2025, amid cooling core pressures. However, the FOMC's March 18 Summary of Economic Projections lifted median PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% for 2026—up from prior estimates—citing energy price surges and potential tariff effects on import costs. Core PCE expectations similarly rose to 2.7%, highlighting reacceleration risks despite anchored long-term outlooks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal firm March monthly gains, potentially elevating annual readings. Traders monitor the March CPI release on April 10 and April FOMC meeting for catalysts influencing 2026 peak inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$395,524Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US CPI inflation remained steady at 2.4% year-over-year in February 2026, matching January levels and marking the lowest since May 2025, amid cooling core pressures. However, the FOMC's March 18 Summary of Economic Projections lifted median PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7% for 2026—up from prior estimates—citing energy price surges and potential tariff effects on import costs. Core PCE expectations similarly rose to 2.7%, highlighting reacceleration risks despite anchored long-term outlooks. Cleveland Fed nowcasts signal firm March monthly gains, potentially elevating annual readings. Traders monitor the March CPI release on April 10 and April FOMC meeting for catalysts influencing 2026 peak inflation trajectories.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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