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Economía·Alojamiento

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<1.17m 46%

1.17 - 1.18m 46%

1.18 - 1.19m 46%

1.19 - 1.2m 46%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<1.17m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.17 - 1.18m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.18 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.19 - 1.2m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.2 - 1.21m

$0 Vol.

46%

1.21 - 1.22m

$0 Vol.

46%

>1.22m

$0 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus with 49% implied probabilities across $1.17M–$1.22M bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30 per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting balanced forces after February's modest 0.4% month-over-month gain to around $1.162M amid scant supply. March's rising inventory—highlighted in local reports—has introduced downward pressure, extending days on market while high 6.37% 30-year mortgage rates curb affordability for entry-level buyers. Countering this, seasonal spring demand and resilient high-income employment in tech and entertainment sustain upside potential, with traders split on whether accelerating listings or robust job growth prevails ahead of the index's daily updates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus with 49% implied probabilities across $1.17M–$1.22M bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30 per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting balanced forces after February's modest 0.4% month-over-month gain to around $1.162M amid scant supply. March's rising inventory—highlighted in local reports—has introduced downward pressure, extending days on market while high 6.37% 30-year mortgage rates curb affordability for entry-level buyers. Countering this, seasonal spring demand and resilient high-income employment in tech and entertainment sustain upside potential, with traders split on whether accelerating listings or robust job growth prevails ahead of the index's daily updates.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<1.17m" con 46%, seguido de "1.17 - 1.18m" con 46%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" es "<1.17m" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1.17 - 1.18m" con 46%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.