Polymarket traders price a 32.8% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, capturing consensus for modest softening from Zillow's February 2026 ZHVI of $572k amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Bright MLS data showed February median sold prices up 2.2% year-over-year to $610k, yet closed sales declined with extended days on market, pressured by persistent 6-7% mortgage rates and federal workforce uncertainty under shifting geopolitical dynamics. Lower bins reflect risks from accelerating supply growth, while upside limited by weak transaction volume; resolution hinges on March-end closings captured in official releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 1 de abril?
¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de DC el 1 de abril?
548 - 554 mil 49.5%
530 - 536 mil 13%
>554k 10.4%
542 - 548k 8.0%
$11,029 Vol.
$11,029 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
2%
518 - 524k
6%
524 - 530k
3%
530 - 536 mil
10%
536 - 542k
8%
542 - 548k
8%
548 - 554 mil
44%
>554k
10%
548 - 554 mil 49.5%
530 - 536 mil 13%
>554k 10.4%
542 - 548k 8.0%
$11,029 Vol.
$11,029 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<518k
$381 Vol.
2%
518 - 524k
$391 Vol.
6%
524 - 530k
$0 Vol.
3%
530 - 536 mil
$827 Vol.
10%
536 - 542k
$1,087 Vol.
8%
542 - 548k
$7,089 Vol.
8%
548 - 554 mil
$789 Vol.
44%
>554k
$465 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Polymarket traders price a 32.8% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, capturing consensus for modest softening from Zillow's February 2026 ZHVI of $572k amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Bright MLS data showed February median sold prices up 2.2% year-over-year to $610k, yet closed sales declined with extended days on market, pressured by persistent 6-7% mortgage rates and federal workforce uncertainty under shifting geopolitical dynamics. Lower bins reflect risks from accelerating supply growth, while upside limited by weak transaction volume; resolution hinges on March-end closings captured in official releases.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Volumen
$11,029Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)Polymarket traders price a 32.8% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, capturing consensus for modest softening from Zillow's February 2026 ZHVI of $572k amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Bright MLS data showed February median sold prices up 2.2% year-over-year to $610k, yet closed sales declined with extended days on market, pressured by persistent 6-7% mortgage rates and federal workforce uncertainty under shifting geopolitical dynamics. Lower bins reflect risks from accelerating supply growth, while upside limited by weak transaction volume; resolution hinges on March-end closings captured in official releases.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/21)
Volumen
$11,029Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 32.8% implied probability for DC metro median home value falling in the 548-554k range on April 1, capturing consensus for modest softening from Zillow's February 2026 ZHVI of $572k amid rising inventory and subdued buyer demand. Bright MLS data showed February median sold prices up 2.2% year-over-year to $610k, yet closed sales declined with extended days on market, pressured by persistent 6-7% mortgage rates and federal workforce uncertainty under shifting geopolitical dynamics. Lower bins reflect risks from accelerating supply growth, while upside limited by weak transaction volume; resolution hinges on March-end closings captured in official releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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