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Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?

Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?

1.165 - 1.175m 30%

1.175 - 1.185m 23%

1.145 - 1.155m 8.0%

1.155 - 1.165m 7.4%

Polymarket
NEW

1.165 - 1.175m 30%

1.175 - 1.185m 23%

1.145 - 1.155m 8.0%

1.155 - 1.165m 7.4%

Polymarket
NEW

<1.125m

$111 Vol.

6%

1.125 - 1.135m

$842 Vol.

7%

1.135 - 1.145m

$297 Vol.

4%

1.145 - 1.155m

$631 Vol.

7%

1.155 - 1.165m

$139 Vol.

17%

1.165 - 1.175m

$801 Vol.

30%

1.175 - 1.185m

$172 Vol.

37%

1,185 - 1,195 m

$470 Vol.

25%

>1.195m

$481 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1.175 - 1.185m" con 37%, seguido de "1.165 - 1.175m" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?" es "1.175 - 1.185m" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "1.165 - 1.175m" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.