Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 1?
1.165 - 1.175m 30%
1.175 - 1.185m 23%
1.145 - 1.155m 8.0%
1.155 - 1.165m 7.4%
<1.125m
6%
1.125 - 1.135m
7%
1.135 - 1.145m
4%
1.145 - 1.155m
7%
1.155 - 1.165m
17%
1.165 - 1.175m
30%
1.175 - 1.185m
37%
1,185 - 1,195 m
25%
>1.195m
15%
1.165 - 1.175m 30%
1.175 - 1.185m 23%
1.145 - 1.155m 8.0%
1.155 - 1.165m 7.4%
<1.125m
6%
1.125 - 1.135m
7%
1.135 - 1.145m
4%
1.145 - 1.155m
7%
1.155 - 1.165m
17%
1.165 - 1.175m
30%
1.175 - 1.185m
37%
1,185 - 1,195 m
25%
>1.195m
15%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/20)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for the San Francisco metro area's Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) on April 1, 2026, pricing 36.5% implied probability into the $1.175–1.185 million bin versus 27.5% for $1.165–1.175 million, amid uncertainty over March's momentum. February's ZHVI registered $1.114 million, up 0.6% month-over-month, but accelerating single-family median sales prices—rising 16–21% year-over-year to $1.7–1.9 million—low inventory down 30–40%, sub-12-day market times, and 28% average overbidding signal robust AI-fueled tech demand. Differentiating factors include final March transaction volumes and spring seasonal lift, with Zillow's snapshot poised to resolve the market imminently.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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