Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en EE. UU. el 1 de abril?
¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en EE. UU. el 1 de abril?
<420k 25.8%
427.5 - 430k 12.0%
422.5 - 425k 11%
430 - 432,5k 3.3%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
<420k
26%
420 - 422,5k
22%
422.5 - 425k
20%
425 - 427,5k
52%
427.5 - 430k
16%
430 - 432,5k
3%
432,5 - 435 mil
26%
>435k
2%
<420k 25.8%
427.5 - 430k 12.0%
422.5 - 425k 11%
430 - 432,5k 3.3%
$16,247 Vol.
$16,247 Vol.
<420k
26%
420 - 422,5k
22%
422.5 - 425k
20%
425 - 427,5k
52%
427.5 - 430k
16%
430 - 432,5k
3%
432,5 - 435 mil
26%
>435k
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/17)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Parcl Labs US median home value at 425-427.5k on April 1 with a leading 49.5% implied probability, reflecting expectations of price stability amid softening growth momentum from recent data. Redfin's February median sales price stood at $429,189, up just 0.9% year-over-year, while NAR reported $398,000 for existing homes—up 0.3%—highlighting subdued appreciation as inventory rose to 3.8 months' supply, the highest in recent years, and mortgage rates lingered above 6.5%. February existing-home sales climbed 1.7% to a 4.09 million annualized pace, bolstering resilience, yet institutional investor net selling and rising listings cap upside, positioning <420k (26.1%) as a key risk ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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