Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?
327 - 330k 48.3%
336 - 339 mil 17.1%
324 - 327k 16%
330 - 333k 15.8%
$11,946 Vol.
$11,946 Vol.
<321k
7%
321 - 324k
13%
324 - 327k
16%
327 - 330k
48%
330 - 333k
16%
333 - 336k
1%
336 - 339 mil
17%
>339k
1%
327 - 330k 48.3%
336 - 339 mil 17.1%
324 - 327k 16%
330 - 333k 15.8%
$11,946 Vol.
$11,946 Vol.
<321k
7%
321 - 324k
13%
324 - 327k
16%
327 - 330k
48%
330 - 333k
16%
333 - 336k
1%
336 - 339 mil
17%
>339k
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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