Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

327 - 330k 48.3%

324 - 327k 22%

330 - 333k 15.8%

336 - 339 mil 14.9%

Polymarket

$12,315 Vol.

327 - 330k 48.3%

324 - 327k 22%

330 - 333k 15.8%

336 - 339 mil 14.9%

Polymarket

$12,315 Vol.

<321k

$209 Vol.

7%

321 - 324k

$2,674 Vol.

10%

324 - 327k

$1,015 Vol.

22%

327 - 330k

$6,833 Vol.

48%

330 - 333k

$821 Vol.

14%

333 - 336k

$196 Vol.

1%

336 - 339 mil

$210 Vol.

15%

>339k

$357 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Polymarket traders' strong consensus at 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the 327-330k range on April 1 reflects Parcl Labs' latest daily sales price index readings—adjusted by multiplying price-per-square-foot by the city's 1,500 sq ft median home size—hovering stably near $328k amid low inventory and nascent spring demand. February 2026 Illinois Realtors data shows Chicago metro single-family median sales prices up 5.3% year-over-year to $395k, with inventory down 10.6% and closed sales off 8%, sustaining upward pressure despite affordability strains from lingering high rates. Easing mortgage rates below 6% signal modest buyer return, but tight supply limits downside risk; resolution hinges on Parcl's April 1 publication, with final weekend transactions as key swing factor.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "327 - 330k" con 48%, seguido de "324 - 327k" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" ha generado $12.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" es "327 - 330k" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "324 - 327k" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.