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Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?

327 - 330k 48.3%

336 - 339 mil 17.1%

324 - 327k 16%

330 - 333k 15.8%

Polymarket

$11,946 Vol.

327 - 330k 48.3%

336 - 339 mil 17.1%

324 - 327k 16%

330 - 333k 15.8%

Polymarket

$11,946 Vol.

<321k

$209 Vol.

7%

321 - 324k

$2,674 Vol.

13%

324 - 327k

$842 Vol.

16%

327 - 330k

$6,833 Vol.

48%

330 - 333k

$821 Vol.

16%

333 - 336k

$0 Vol.

1%

336 - 339 mil

$210 Vol.

17%

>339k

$357 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/22)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 47.9% implied probability for Chicago's median home value falling in the $327,000–$330,000 range on April 1, anchored by Zillow's latest Home Value Index showing $328,462 for February 2025—a modest 0.2% monthly decline amid persistent 6.8%–7% mortgage rates curbing buyer demand. Elevated inventory levels, up 15% year-over-year per Redfin data released last week, signal softening price momentum despite low new listings, while Chicago's unemployment rate holding steady at 4.8% supports wage growth but not aggressive bidding. Recent trader positioning reflects caution on spring rebound, with lower bins gaining traction after national housing starts fell 2.4% in February data; resolution hinges on March sales volume reported early next month.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "327 - 330k" con 48%, seguido de "336 - 339 mil" con 17%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" ha generado $11.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" es "327 - 330k" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "336 - 339 mil" con 17%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in Chicago be on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.