30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.81% per Freddie Mac's latest weekly survey, have eased from October peaks amid the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to the fed funds rate at 4.25-4.50% on December 18, reflecting cooling inflation with November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year and PCE at 2.3%. These rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, hovering near 4.30%, which incorporates trader expectations for two more 25 basis point cuts in 2025 per Fed dot plots. Heading into 2026, market-implied paths suggest further gradual declines toward 6.0% or below if disinflation persists, though persistent housing shortages and fiscal deficits pose upside risks. Key catalysts include January 10 CPI data, Q4 GDP release on January 30, and the FOMC meeting on January 28-29.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La tasa hipotecaria a 30 años llegará a __ en 2026?
¿La tasa hipotecaria a 30 años llegará a __ en 2026?
$43,345 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 7,00%
42%
↑ 6,75%
49%
↑ 6,50%
73%
↓ 5,90%
47%
↓ 5,70%
41%
↓ 5.50%
50%
$43,345 Vol.
↑ 7,00%
$13 Vol.
42%
↑ 6,75%
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 6,50%
$6,451 Vol.
73%
↓ 5,90%
$0 Vol.
47%
↓ 5,70%
$6,769 Vol.
41%
↓ 5.50%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.81% per Freddie Mac's latest weekly survey, have eased from October peaks amid the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to the fed funds rate at 4.25-4.50% on December 18, reflecting cooling inflation with November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year and PCE at 2.3%. These rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, hovering near 4.30%, which incorporates trader expectations for two more 25 basis point cuts in 2025 per Fed dot plots. Heading into 2026, market-implied paths suggest further gradual declines toward 6.0% or below if disinflation persists, though persistent housing shortages and fiscal deficits pose upside risks. Key catalysts include January 10 CPI data, Q4 GDP release on January 30, and the FOMC meeting on January 28-29.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$43,345Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.81% per Freddie Mac's latest weekly survey, have eased from October peaks amid the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to the fed funds rate at 4.25-4.50% on December 18, reflecting cooling inflation with November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year and PCE at 2.3%. These rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, hovering near 4.30%, which incorporates trader expectations for two more 25 basis point cuts in 2025 per Fed dot plots. Heading into 2026, market-implied paths suggest further gradual declines toward 6.0% or below if disinflation persists, though persistent housing shortages and fiscal deficits pose upside risks. Key catalysts include January 10 CPI data, Q4 GDP release on January 30, and the FOMC meeting on January 28-29.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,345Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...30-year mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.81% per Freddie Mac's latest weekly survey, have eased from October peaks amid the Federal Reserve's recent 25 basis point cut to the fed funds rate at 4.25-4.50% on December 18, reflecting cooling inflation with November CPI at 2.7% year-over-year and PCE at 2.3%. These rates track the 10-year Treasury yield, hovering near 4.30%, which incorporates trader expectations for two more 25 basis point cuts in 2025 per Fed dot plots. Heading into 2026, market-implied paths suggest further gradual declines toward 6.0% or below if disinflation persists, though persistent housing shortages and fiscal deficits pose upside risks. Key catalysts include January 10 CPI data, Q4 GDP release on January 30, and the FOMC meeting on January 28-29.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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