Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
575 - 580k 37.7%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.0%
570 - 575k 3.1%
$14,239 Vol.
$14,239 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<570k
2%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
38%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
2%
590 - 595k
8%
595 - 600k
2%
>600k
3%
575 - 580k 37.7%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.0%
570 - 575k 3.1%
$14,239 Vol.
$14,239 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<570k
$1,310 Vol.
2%
570 - 575k
$944 Vol.
3%
575 - 580k
$1,434 Vol.
38%
580 - 585k
$1,582 Vol.
38%
585 - 590k
$3,477 Vol.
2%
590 - 595k
$2,320 Vol.
8%
595 - 600k
$1,795 Vol.
2%
>600k
$1,379 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Mercado abierto: Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Volumen
$14,239Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Volumen
$14,239Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead heat for New York City median home value on April 1, with 580-585k (37.8%) edging 575-580k (37.6%) amid February Parcl index readings hovering near $588,000—buoyed by persistent low inventory and 2.3% year-over-year median sale price gains to $880,000 per Redfin data. Key differentiators include resilient demand in premium boroughs like Manhattan, where sales prices climbed amid strengthening buyer activity, versus caution from 72-day average days on market (up year-over-year) and elevated 30-year mortgage rates curbing transactions. With resolution imminent via Parcl's daily-updated index, late-March listing trends and any inventory uptick could tip the balance in this closely contested market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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