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Economía·Ocultar De Nuevo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

Market icon
Economía·Ocultar De Nuevo·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?

575 - 580k 43.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

585 - 590k 18%

590 - 595k 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,097 Vol.

575 - 580k 43.5%

580 - 585k 28.6%

585 - 590k 18%

590 - 595k 6.0%

Polymarket

$13,097 Vol.

<570k

$1,300 Vol.

2%

570 - 575k

$876 Vol.

1%

575 - 580k

$1,402 Vol.

30%

580 - 585k

$1,582 Vol.

38%

585 - 590k

$3,009 Vol.

18%

590 - 595k

$2,320 Vol.

8%

595 - 600k

$1,428 Vol.

3%

>600k

$1,180 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on April 1, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a New York City median home value of approximately $580,000 on April 1, with 42.9% probability for 580-585k and 30.4% for 575-580k, driven by February Parcl Labs index stability around these levels amid rising inventory (up 2% YoY in NY metro per Realtor.com data) and softening median list prices (-2.3% YoY at $749k). Zillow's February ZHVI rose 4% YoY to $813k, signaling underlying value growth, but high mortgage rates near 6.8% and seasonal winter slowdowns cap near-term upside. With resolution imminent via Parcl's monthly update, low-volume tail outcomes reflect limited catalysts for deviation.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "580 - 585k" con 38%, seguido de "575 - 580k" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 38¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" ha generado $13.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" es "580 - 585k" con 38%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 38% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "575 - 580k" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.