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Economía·Alojamiento

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

Market icon
Economía·Alojamiento

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?

1.154 - 1.172m 48%

<1.154m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

1.154 - 1.172m 48%

<1.154m 45%

1.172 - 1.19m 45%

1.19 - 1.208m 45%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<1.154m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.154 - 1.172m

$0 Vol.

48%

1.172 - 1.19m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.19 - 1.208m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.208 - 1.226m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.226 - 1.244m

$0 Vol.

45%

1.244 - 1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

>1.262m

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)Trader sentiment in the San Francisco metro median home value market reflects tight clustering of implied probabilities around $1.15-1.26 million, driven by February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.12 million amid a sharp sales surge—median single-family prices up 21% year-over-year to $1.94 million citywide—fueled by inventory contraction of over 37%. Low supply and rapid turnover (12-14 days on market) signal robust tech-fueled demand, yet emerging upticks in new listings and stubbornly high 30-year mortgage rates near 7% introduce caution, creating a closely contested outlook where swing factors like spring buying momentum and further inventory dynamics could tip the April 30 resolution. Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices in modest appreciation potential against national home value stagnation.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/28)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "1.154 - 1.172m" con 48%, seguido de "<1.154m" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" es "1.154 - 1.172m" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<1.154m" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.