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Economía·Bienes Inmuebles

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?

Market icon
Economía·Bienes Inmuebles

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?

<415k 49%

415 - 419k 49%

419 - 423k 49%

423 - 427k 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<415k 49%

415 - 419k 49%

419 - 423k 49%

423 - 427k 49%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<415k

$0 Vol.

49%

415 - 419k

$0 Vol.

49%

419 - 423k

$0 Vol.

49%

423 - 427k

$0 Vol.

49%

427 - 431k

$0 Vol.

49%

431 - 435k

$0 Vol.

49%

435 - 439k

$0 Vol.

47%

>439k

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Austin metro median home value tightly around the $415,000–$427,000 range for April 30, with 49% implied probabilities across leading bins, reflecting February Zillow Home Value Index at $424,642—down 5.9% year-over-year—as the key anchor amid market normalization. Surging inventory to 14,881 active listings (+6.5% recently) and 4.92 months' supply nearing balance have empowered buyers, pressuring price appreciation despite March pending sales upticks signaling spring demand revival. Climbing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% further strain affordability, creating swing potential: accelerated supply growth could favor sub-$415,000 outcomes, while robust tech-sector hiring might sustain $423,000+ levels ahead of May Zillow data release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Austin metro median home value tightly around the $415,000–$427,000 range for April 30, with 49% implied probabilities across leading bins, reflecting February Zillow Home Value Index at $424,642—down 5.9% year-over-year—as the key anchor amid market normalization. Surging inventory to 14,881 active listings (+6.5% recently) and 4.92 months' supply nearing balance have empowered buyers, pressuring price appreciation despite March pending sales upticks signaling spring demand revival. Climbing 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% further strain affordability, creating swing potential: accelerated supply growth could favor sub-$415,000 outcomes, while robust tech-sector hiring might sustain $423,000+ levels ahead of May Zillow data release.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<415k" con 49%, seguido de "415 - 419k" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 49¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?" es "<415k" con 49%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 49% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "415 - 419k" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, el 30 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.