Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Aumento 86%

Sin cambios 10%

Disminución <1%

Polymarket

$15,536 Vol.

Aumento 86%

Sin cambios 10%

Disminución <1%

Polymarket

$15,536 Vol.

Disminución

$6,897 Vol.

<1%

Sin cambios

$3,304 Vol.

10%

Aumento

$5,336 Vol.

86%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.5% implied probability to a rate increase by the Central Bank of Colombia (BanRep) at its April 30 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and hawkish signals from recent economic data. February's CPI eased slightly to 7.79% year-over-year but remained well above the 3% target, while core inflation held firm amid robust domestic demand and peso volatility. BanRep's March minutes highlighted upside inflation risks, tempering cut expectations despite global easing trends. No-change trades at 10% capture minor dovish hopes from slowing food prices, while a decrease at 0.3% prices negligible odds amid elevated inflation trajectory. Key watch: upcoming March CPI release on April 8, which could cement or shift hike expectations before the FOMC-influenced decision.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.5% implied probability to a rate increase by the Central Bank of Colombia (BanRep) at its April 30 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and hawkish signals from recent economic data. February's CPI eased slightly to 7.79% year-over-year but remained well above the 3% target, while core inflation held firm amid robust domestic demand and peso volatility. BanRep's March minutes highlighted upside inflation risks, tempering cut expectations despite global easing trends. No-change trades at 10% capture minor dovish hopes from slowing food prices, while a decrease at 0.3% prices negligible odds amid elevated inflation trajectory. Key watch: upcoming March CPI release on April 8, which could cement or shift hike expectations before the FOMC-influenced decision.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its April 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.5% implied probability to a rate increase by the Central Bank of Colombia (BanRep) at its April 30 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and hawkish signals from recent economic data. February's CPI eased slightly to 7.79% year-over-year but remained well above the 3% target, while core inflation held firm amid robust domestic demand and peso volatility. BanRep's March minutes highlighted upside inflation risks, tempering cut expectations despite global easing trends. No-change trades at 10% capture minor dovish hopes from slowing food prices, while a decrease at 0.3% prices negligible odds amid elevated inflation trajectory. Key watch: upcoming March CPI release on April 8, which could cement or shift hike expectations before the FOMC-influenced decision.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 85.5% implied probability to a rate increase by the Central Bank of Colombia (BanRep) at its April 30 meeting, reflecting sticky inflation and hawkish signals from recent economic data. February's CPI eased slightly to 7.79% year-over-year but remained well above the 3% target, while core inflation held firm amid robust domestic demand and peso volatility. BanRep's March minutes highlighted upside inflation risks, tempering cut expectations despite global easing trends. No-change trades at 10% capture minor dovish hopes from slowing food prices, while a decrease at 0.3% prices negligible odds amid elevated inflation trajectory. Key watch: upcoming March CPI release on April 8, which could cement or shift hike expectations before the FOMC-influenced decision.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Aumento" con 86%, seguido de "Sin cambios" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" ha generado $15.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 31, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" es "Aumento" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin cambios" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco Central de Colombia en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.