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Economía·Tarifas Globales

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Market icon
Economía·Tarifas Globales

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Apr 7

May 27

Apr 7

May 27

No Change 59%

Increase 32%

Decrease 5.9%

Polymarket
NEW

No Change 59%

Increase 32%

Decrease 5.9%

Polymarket
NEW

Increase

$253 Vol.

37%

No Change

$308 Vol.

59%

Decrease

$711 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's February 18 hold at accommodative 2.25% amid expectations of inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint within 12 months, supported by spare economic capacity and recovering activity from low rates and strong exports. A notable 35.5% odds on an increase stem from sticky Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% band—and early hike chatter among economists, with RBNZ's own OCR track projecting 2.38% by year-end. Weaker-than-expected Q4 GDP growth tempers cut odds at 6.2%, while the expanded April 8 Monetary Policy Review looms as a key sentiment catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's February 18 hold at accommodative 2.25% amid expectations of inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint within 12 months, supported by spare economic capacity and recovering activity from low rates and strong exports. A notable 35.5% odds on an increase stem from sticky Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% band—and early hike chatter among economists, with RBNZ's own OCR track projecting 2.38% by year-end. Weaker-than-expected Q4 GDP growth tempers cut odds at 6.2%, while the expanded April 8 Monetary Policy Review looms as a key sentiment catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's February 18 hold at accommodative 2.25% amid expectations of inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint within 12 months, supported by spare economic capacity and recovering activity from low rates and strong exports. A notable 35.5% odds on an increase stem from sticky Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% band—and early hike chatter among economists, with RBNZ's own OCR track projecting 2.38% by year-end. Weaker-than-expected Q4 GDP growth tempers cut odds at 6.2%, while the expanded April 8 Monetary Policy Review looms as a key sentiment catalyst.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 58.5% implied probability to no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 decision, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee's February 18 hold at accommodative 2.25% amid expectations of inflation returning to the 2% target midpoint within 12 months, supported by spare economic capacity and recovering activity from low rates and strong exports. A notable 35.5% odds on an increase stem from sticky Q4 2025 CPI at 3.1% year-over-year—above the 1-3% band—and early hike chatter among economists, with RBNZ's own OCR track projecting 2.38% by year-end. Weaker-than-expected Q4 GDP growth tempers cut odds at 6.2%, while the expanded April 8 Monetary Policy Review looms as a key sentiment catalyst.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "No Change" con 59%, seguido de "Increase" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 59¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?" es "No Change" con 59%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 59% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Increase" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.