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Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?

Apr 30

Jun 18

Apr 30

Jun 18

Sin cambios 84%

Aumento 15.9%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%

Polymarket

$192,372 Vol.

Sin cambios 84%

Aumento 15.9%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos <1%

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%

Polymarket

$192,372 Vol.

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos

$20,478 Vol.

<1%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos

$85,402 Vol.

1%

Sin cambios

$46,677 Vol.

84%

Aumento

$39,814 Vol.

16%

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures offsetting labor market softening. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with services inflation easing marginally to 4.3%, while wage growth slowed to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January amid unemployment rising to 5.2%. The March 19 MPC held rates at 3.75%, but recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have elevated hike odds to 15.9%, curtailing cut expectations below 1%. Governor Bailey noted markets overpricing rises, with trader sentiment awaiting March CPI for further clarity.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures offsetting labor market softening. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with services inflation easing marginally to 4.3%, while wage growth slowed to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January amid unemployment rising to 5.2%. The March 19 MPC held rates at 3.75%, but recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have elevated hike odds to 15.9%, curtailing cut expectations below 1%. Governor Bailey noted markets overpricing rises, with trader sentiment awaiting March CPI for further clarity.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures offsetting labor market softening. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with services inflation easing marginally to 4.3%, while wage growth slowed to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January amid unemployment rising to 5.2%. The March 19 MPC held rates at 3.75%, but recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have elevated hike odds to 15.9%, curtailing cut expectations below 1%. Governor Bailey noted markets overpricing rises, with trader sentiment awaiting March CPI for further clarity.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 83.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30, 2026, MPC meeting, reflecting persistent inflation pressures offsetting labor market softening. February 2026 CPI held steady at 3.0% year-over-year, with services inflation easing marginally to 4.3%, while wage growth slowed to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January amid unemployment rising to 5.2%. The March 19 MPC held rates at 3.75%, but recent energy price spikes from the Iran conflict have elevated hike odds to 15.9%, curtailing cut expectations below 1%. Governor Bailey noted markets overpricing rises, with trader sentiment awaiting March CPI for further clarity.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 84%, seguido de "Aumento" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 84¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" ha generado $192.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" es "Sin cambios" con 84%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 84% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aumento" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.