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Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Política Económica

¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?

Apr 30

Jun 18

Apr 30

Jun 18

Sin cambios 72%

Aumento 26.5%

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos 1.4%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos 1.1%

Polymarket

$180,692 Vol.

Sin cambios 72%

Aumento 26.5%

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos 1.4%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos 1.1%

Polymarket

$180,692 Vol.

Disminución de más de 50 puntos básicos

$18,996 Vol.

1%

Bajada de 25 puntos básicos

$78,819 Vol.

1%

Sin cambios

$44,217 Vol.

72%

Aumento

$38,660 Vol.

26%

The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Persistent February 2026 UK CPI inflation at 3.0%—unchanged from January—and escalating energy prices from Middle East conflicts have anchored Polymarket trader consensus at a 71.5% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the April 30 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, reflecting the unanimous March 19 hold at 3.75%. Hawkish MPC signaling of upside inflation risks has elevated increase odds to 26.5%, with some rate markets fully pricing a 25 basis point hike amid revised growth forecasts to 0.9% for 2026. Cut probabilities remain negligible below 3% combined, as policy easing appears paused. Traders eye March CPI data due April 22 for potential shifts ahead of resolution.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Sin cambios" con 72%, seguido de "Aumento" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 72¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" ha generado $180.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 6, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" es "Sin cambios" con 72%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 72% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Aumento" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de Inglaterra en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.