Polymarket traders price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8, 2026 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 18 hold at 2.25% amid quarterly CPI inflation of 3.1% for Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target band but with projections for a swift return to the 2% midpoint amid economic spare capacity and a nascent recovery. Forward guidance anticipates accommodative policy through mid-2026, aligning trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong labor data or persistent price pressures prompting a hike, or a sharper downturn risking a cut, though upcoming March-quarter CPI (April 21) follows the decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin cambios 97.5%
Aumentar 1.1%
Disminuir <1%
$26,095 Vol.
$26,095 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
Disminuir
<1%
Sin cambios
98%
Aumentar
1%
Sin cambios 97.5%
Aumentar 1.1%
Disminuir <1%
$26,095 Vol.
$26,095 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
Disminuir
$5,552 Vol.
<1%
Sin cambios
$8,052 Vol.
98%
Aumentar
$12,491 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8, 2026 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 18 hold at 2.25% amid quarterly CPI inflation of 3.1% for Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target band but with projections for a swift return to the 2% midpoint amid economic spare capacity and a nascent recovery. Forward guidance anticipates accommodative policy through mid-2026, aligning trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong labor data or persistent price pressures prompting a hike, or a sharper downturn risking a cut, though upcoming March-quarter CPI (April 21) follows the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$26,095Fecha de finalización
Apr 7, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8, 2026 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 18 hold at 2.25% amid quarterly CPI inflation of 3.1% for Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target band but with projections for a swift return to the 2% midpoint amid economic spare capacity and a nascent recovery. Forward guidance anticipates accommodative policy through mid-2026, aligning trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong labor data or persistent price pressures prompting a hike, or a sharper downturn risking a cut, though upcoming March-quarter CPI (April 21) follows the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$26,095Fecha de finalización
Apr 7, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 97.5% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its April 8, 2026 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February 18 hold at 2.25% amid quarterly CPI inflation of 3.1% for Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target band but with projections for a swift return to the 2% midpoint amid economic spare capacity and a nascent recovery. Forward guidance anticipates accommodative policy through mid-2026, aligning trader consensus backed by real capital. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly strong labor data or persistent price pressures prompting a hike, or a sharper downturn risking a cut, though upcoming March-quarter CPI (April 21) follows the decision.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes