Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India to hold its repo rate steady at 5.25% in the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21%—up from 2.75% in January—yet remaining within the 2-6% target band amid robust FY25/26 GDP growth projections of 7.4%. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including oil supply risks and rupee pressures, have tempered rate-cut expectations to 23%, while hike odds at 13.6% reflect upside inflation risks without overheating signals. Upcoming March CPI data and global monetary policy divergence will be key catalysts influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin cambios 73%
Incrementar 23.6%
Disminuir 5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
Disminuir
23%
Sin cambios
63%
Incrementar
14%
Sin cambios 73%
Incrementar 23.6%
Disminuir 5%
NEW
NEW
Apr 8, 2026
Disminuir
$83 Vol.
23%
Sin cambios
$209 Vol.
63%
Incrementar
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India to hold its repo rate steady at 5.25% in the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21%—up from 2.75% in January—yet remaining within the 2-6% target band amid robust FY25/26 GDP growth projections of 7.4%. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including oil supply risks and rupee pressures, have tempered rate-cut expectations to 23%, while hike odds at 13.6% reflect upside inflation risks without overheating signals. Upcoming March CPI data and global monetary policy divergence will be key catalysts influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volumen
$292Fecha de finalización
Apr 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India to hold its repo rate steady at 5.25% in the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21%—up from 2.75% in January—yet remaining within the 2-6% target band amid robust FY25/26 GDP growth projections of 7.4%. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including oil supply risks and rupee pressures, have tempered rate-cut expectations to 23%, while hike odds at 13.6% reflect upside inflation risks without overheating signals. Upcoming March CPI data and global monetary policy divergence will be key catalysts influencing final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$292Fecha de finalización
Apr 8, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62.5% implied probability for the Reserve Bank of India to hold its repo rate steady at 5.25% in the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, driven by February 2026 CPI inflation rising to a 10-month high of 3.21%—up from 2.75% in January—yet remaining within the 2-6% target band amid robust FY25/26 GDP growth projections of 7.4%. Geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including oil supply risks and rupee pressures, have tempered rate-cut expectations to 23%, while hike odds at 13.6% reflect upside inflation risks without overheating signals. Upcoming March CPI data and global monetary policy divergence will be key catalysts influencing final positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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