Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSin cambios 100.0%
Disminuir tasas <1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$1,418,416 Vol.
$1,418,416 Vol.
28 abr 2026
Disminuir tasas
No
Sin cambios
Sí
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
No
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
No
Sin cambios 100.0%
Disminuir tasas <1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos <1%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
$1,418,416 Vol.
$1,418,416 Vol.
28 abr 2026
Disminuir tasas
$289,038 Vol.
No
Sin cambios
$385,092 Vol.
Sí
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$259,261 Vol.
No
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$485,025 Vol.
No
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volumen
$1,418,416Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for April is scheduled to be released on April 28, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's April 2026 meeting.
If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$1,418,416Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 23, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Bank of Japan policymakers maintained the short-term policy rate at 0.75% following the April 27-28 Monetary Policy Meeting, cementing trader consensus at 100% for no change amid escalating Middle East tensions clouding the economic outlook. Recent hotter-than-expected core inflation and a tightening labor market had built pre-meeting hike speculation, but Governor Kazuo Ueda's cautious remarks emphasized vigilance on global risks, shifting market-implied odds decisively toward hold. A split 6-3 board vote—with three dissenters favoring an increase—highlights internal hawkishness, elevating June rate hike probabilities while affirming current positioning. Only an unprecedented reversal in official confirmation could challenge this outcome, with Ueda's post-meeting press conference key for forward guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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