Trader sentiment on USD/JPY's potential to hit key levels in 2026 hinges on persistent U.S.-Japan monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts amid resilient U.S. growth and the Bank of Japan holding its policy rate at 0.75% following a March decision, though markets price a 70% chance of an April hike amid accelerating inflation from imported oil amid Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 159.25, testing 160—a historical intervention trigger—supported by wide yield spreads (U.S. 10-year Treasuries around 4.37% versus Japan Government Bond 10-year at 2.42%). Upcoming Bank of Japan meeting on April 26-27 and FOMC on April 28-29 loom as catalysts, alongside U.S. CPI data and Japanese wage surveys that could shift carry trade dynamics and intervention risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$18,867 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑200
7%
↑190
9%
↑180
13%
↑175
26%
↑170
34%
↑165
63%
↓150
50%
↓140
20%
↓130
9%
↓120
26%
↓110
22%
$18,867 Vol.
↑200
$419 Vol.
7%
↑190
$11 Vol.
9%
↑180
$740 Vol.
13%
↑175
$762 Vol.
26%
↑170
$2,187 Vol.
34%
↑165
$5,205 Vol.
63%
↓150
$579 Vol.
50%
↓140
$310 Vol.
20%
↓130
$0 Vol.
9%
↓120
$0 Vol.
26%
↓110
$337 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Trader sentiment on USD/JPY's potential to hit key levels in 2026 hinges on persistent U.S.-Japan monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts amid resilient U.S. growth and the Bank of Japan holding its policy rate at 0.75% following a March decision, though markets price a 70% chance of an April hike amid accelerating inflation from imported oil amid Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 159.25, testing 160—a historical intervention trigger—supported by wide yield spreads (U.S. 10-year Treasuries around 4.37% versus Japan Government Bond 10-year at 2.42%). Upcoming Bank of Japan meeting on April 26-27 and FOMC on April 28-29 loom as catalysts, alongside U.S. CPI data and Japanese wage surveys that could shift carry trade dynamics and intervention risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Volumen
$18,867Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).Trader sentiment on USD/JPY's potential to hit key levels in 2026 hinges on persistent U.S.-Japan monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts amid resilient U.S. growth and the Bank of Japan holding its policy rate at 0.75% following a March decision, though markets price a 70% chance of an April hike amid accelerating inflation from imported oil amid Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 159.25, testing 160—a historical intervention trigger—supported by wide yield spreads (U.S. 10-year Treasuries around 4.37% versus Japan Government Bond 10-year at 2.42%). Upcoming Bank of Japan meeting on April 26-27 and FOMC on April 28-29 loom as catalysts, alongside U.S. CPI data and Japanese wage surveys that could shift carry trade dynamics and intervention risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Volumen
$18,867Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 4:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on USD/JPY's potential to hit key levels in 2026 hinges on persistent U.S.-Japan monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve pausing rate cuts amid resilient U.S. growth and the Bank of Japan holding its policy rate at 0.75% following a March decision, though markets price a 70% chance of an April hike amid accelerating inflation from imported oil amid Middle East tensions. The pair trades near 159.25, testing 160—a historical intervention trigger—supported by wide yield spreads (U.S. 10-year Treasuries around 4.37% versus Japan Government Bond 10-year at 2.42%). Upcoming Bank of Japan meeting on April 26-27 and FOMC on April 28-29 loom as catalysts, alongside U.S. CPI data and Japanese wage surveys that could shift carry trade dynamics and intervention risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes