Trader sentiment on USD/CAD reaching key 2026 levels hinges on sustained US-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate unchanged since its March 18 decision. The pair hovers near 1.38 after bouncing from its 200-day EMA, pressured lower by easing oil prices amid softer commodity demand and steady Canadian unemployment at 6.7% in March (versus US 4.3%), signaling loonie vulnerability. Market-implied odds reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts varying to 1.37-1.41 by year-end. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and next BoC announcement for shifts in rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$11,518 Vol.
31 dic 2026
↑1,70
7%
↑1.60
11%
↑1.55
14%
↑1,50
39%
↑1,45
58%
↑1,42
58%
↓1.33
66%
↓1,30
44%
↓1.25
43%
↓1.20
39%
↓1,10
28%
$11,518 Vol.
↑1,70
$805 Vol.
7%
↑1.60
$181 Vol.
11%
↑1.55
$160 Vol.
14%
↑1,50
$0 Vol.
39%
↑1,45
$6,055 Vol.
58%
↑1,42
$11 Vol.
58%
↓1.33
$44 Vol.
66%
↓1,30
$0 Vol.
44%
↓1.25
$86 Vol.
43%
↓1.20
$0 Vol.
39%
↓1,10
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).Trader sentiment on USD/CAD reaching key 2026 levels hinges on sustained US-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate unchanged since its March 18 decision. The pair hovers near 1.38 after bouncing from its 200-day EMA, pressured lower by easing oil prices amid softer commodity demand and steady Canadian unemployment at 6.7% in March (versus US 4.3%), signaling loonie vulnerability. Market-implied odds reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts varying to 1.37-1.41 by year-end. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and next BoC announcement for shifts in rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volumen
$11,518Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).Trader sentiment on USD/CAD reaching key 2026 levels hinges on sustained US-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate unchanged since its March 18 decision. The pair hovers near 1.38 after bouncing from its 200-day EMA, pressured lower by easing oil prices amid softer commodity demand and steady Canadian unemployment at 6.7% in March (versus US 4.3%), signaling loonie vulnerability. Market-implied odds reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts varying to 1.37-1.41 by year-end. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and next BoC announcement for shifts in rate path expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Volumen
$11,518Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on USD/CAD reaching key 2026 levels hinges on sustained US-Canada monetary policy divergence, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds target at 3.5%-3.75% (effective rate 3.64%) versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% policy rate unchanged since its March 18 decision. The pair hovers near 1.38 after bouncing from its 200-day EMA, pressured lower by easing oil prices amid softer commodity demand and steady Canadian unemployment at 6.7% in March (versus US 4.3%), signaling loonie vulnerability. Market-implied odds reflect this skin-in-the-game consensus, with forecasts varying to 1.37-1.41 by year-end. Watch the April 28-29 FOMC meeting and next BoC announcement for shifts in rate path expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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