Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns modest implied probabilities to EUR/USD hitting elevated levels like 1.10+ in 2026, driven primarily by persistent US interest rate superiority, with Fed funds futures pricing a 3.00-3.25% terminal rate versus ECB's projected 2.00% deposit facility amid stronger US GDP forecasts at 2.1% annually through 2026 compared to Eurozone's sub-1.5%. Current spot at 1.082 underscores dollar resilience from resilient US jobs data and fiscal expansion risks under new administration policies. Key catalysts include December 12 ECB rate decision, US CPI on December 11, and Q4 GDP releases, though long-term euro upside faces headwinds from trade tariffs and German fiscal constraints.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$54,292 Vol.
↑ 1,40
12%
↑ 1,35
22%
↑ 1,30
26%
↑ 1,26
36%
↑ 1,24
45%
↑ 1,22
60%
↑ 1,20
74%
↓ 1,14
88%
↓ 1,12
68%
↓ 1,10
40%
↓ 1,05
21%
↓ 1.00
9%
$54,292 Vol.
↑ 1,40
12%
↑ 1,35
22%
↑ 1,30
26%
↑ 1,26
36%
↑ 1,24
45%
↑ 1,22
60%
↑ 1,20
74%
↓ 1,14
88%
↓ 1,12
68%
↓ 1,10
40%
↓ 1,05
21%
↓ 1.00
9%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Mercado abierto: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns modest implied probabilities to EUR/USD hitting elevated levels like 1.10+ in 2026, driven primarily by persistent US interest rate superiority, with Fed funds futures pricing a 3.00-3.25% terminal rate versus ECB's projected 2.00% deposit facility amid stronger US GDP forecasts at 2.1% annually through 2026 compared to Eurozone's sub-1.5%. Current spot at 1.082 underscores dollar resilience from resilient US jobs data and fiscal expansion risks under new administration policies. Key catalysts include December 12 ECB rate decision, US CPI on December 11, and Q4 GDP releases, though long-term euro upside faces headwinds from trade tariffs and German fiscal constraints.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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