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Economía·Tarifas Globales

¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?

Market icon
Economía·Tarifas Globales

¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?

Apr 24

Jun 19

Apr 24

Jun 19

Disminuir 85%

Sin cambios 16%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 Vol.

Disminuir 85%

Sin cambios 16%

Aumento <1%

Polymarket

$19,732 Vol.

Disminuir

$11,740 Vol.

85%

Sin cambios

$3,686 Vol.

16%

Aumento

$4,306 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its April 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their April 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Polymarket traders price an 84.5% implied probability of a Bank of Russia key rate decrease at the April 26 meeting, driven by March inflation data slowing to 7.7% year-over-year from February's 7.8%, easing pressures that prompted prior hikes to 16%. This disinflation trajectory, alongside stabilizing ruble exchange rates around 92 per dollar and moderating wage growth amid sanctions-hit economic activity, has shifted sentiment toward monetary policy easing after five months of steady holds. No change trades at 15.5% on lingering risks from geopolitical tensions and fiscal stimulus, while a hike at 0.7% reflects minimal overheating concerns. Traders eye pre-meeting GDP and industrial output releases as potential catalysts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Disminuir" con 85%, seguido de "Sin cambios" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?" ha generado $19.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?" es "Disminuir" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sin cambios" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Decisión del Banco de Rusia en abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.