Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.50% policy stance through recent decisions in January, February, and March, bolstered by stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0% on semiconductor export strength. A 21% chance of a rate increase stems from the February dot plot's minority projections signaling potential hikes amid currency pressures on the weak won and rising bond yields, while a slim 12.5% odds for a cut underscore limited easing pressures given controlled inflation and moderate growth. Upcoming April CPI data and the April 9 policy meeting could sway sentiment ahead of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 13%
Decrease
13%
No Change
63%
Increase
21%
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 13%
Decrease
13%
No Change
63%
Increase
21%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 63% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting the central bank's steady 2.50% policy stance through recent decisions in January, February, and March, bolstered by stable February CPI inflation at 2.0% year-over-year and an upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecast to 2.0% on semiconductor export strength. A 21% chance of a rate increase stems from the February dot plot's minority projections signaling potential hikes amid currency pressures on the weak won and rising bond yields, while a slim 12.5% odds for a cut underscore limited easing pressures given controlled inflation and moderate growth. Upcoming April CPI data and the April 9 policy meeting could sway sentiment ahead of May.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes