Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, driven by the central bank's sixth consecutive hold at 2.50% in February 2026 and steady headline CPI at 2.0% for the same month—right at target—amid balanced economic risks. Core inflation ticked up to 2.5%, tempering cut expectations (11.5% odds), while modest Q4 2025 GDP contraction and 1.9–2.0% 2026 growth forecasts limit hike prospects (20.5% odds), reinforced by the BOK's new dot-plot signaling a prolonged pause. Traders eye the April 9 decision and March CPI for potential shifts before May resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 12%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Decrease
12%
No Change
63%
Increase
21%
No Change 63%
Increase 21%
Decrease 12%
NEW
NEW
May 28, 2026
Decrease
$352 Vol.
12%
No Change
$0 Vol.
63%
Increase
$6,996 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, driven by the central bank's sixth consecutive hold at 2.50% in February 2026 and steady headline CPI at 2.0% for the same month—right at target—amid balanced economic risks. Core inflation ticked up to 2.5%, tempering cut expectations (11.5% odds), while modest Q4 2025 GDP contraction and 1.9–2.0% 2026 growth forecasts limit hike prospects (20.5% odds), reinforced by the BOK's new dot-plot signaling a prolonged pause. Traders eye the April 9 decision and March CPI for potential shifts before May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volumen
$7,348Fecha de finalización
May 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, driven by the central bank's sixth consecutive hold at 2.50% in February 2026 and steady headline CPI at 2.0% for the same month—right at target—amid balanced economic risks. Core inflation ticked up to 2.5%, tempering cut expectations (11.5% odds), while modest Q4 2025 GDP contraction and 1.9–2.0% 2026 growth forecasts limit hike prospects (20.5% odds), reinforced by the BOK's new dot-plot signaling a prolonged pause. Traders eye the April 9 decision and March CPI for potential shifts before May resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$7,348Fecha de finalización
May 28, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 62.5% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, driven by the central bank's sixth consecutive hold at 2.50% in February 2026 and steady headline CPI at 2.0% for the same month—right at target—amid balanced economic risks. Core inflation ticked up to 2.5%, tempering cut expectations (11.5% odds), while modest Q4 2025 GDP contraction and 1.9–2.0% 2026 growth forecasts limit hike prospects (20.5% odds), reinforced by the BOK's new dot-plot signaling a prolonged pause. Traders eye the April 9 decision and March CPI for potential shifts before May resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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