Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as his successor, yet Powell’s separate 14-year term as a Board Governor extends through January 2028. He has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until a Justice Department probe into the renovation of Fed headquarters is fully resolved, citing institutional interests amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. This stance marks the first time since 1948 that a departing chair has chosen to stay on as governor rather than step aside immediately. Traders are monitoring the timeline of the DOJ investigation and any potential acceleration in Powell’s exit, as his continued presence preserves a degree of continuity on the seven-member Board while Warsh assumes the chair role. Key near-term catalysts include updates on the renovation inquiry and broader monetary-policy signals that could influence Powell’s calculus on tenure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$320,446 Vol.
31 dic 2026
30 de mayo
3%
31 de diciembre
44%
$320,446 Vol.
30 de mayo
$199,742 Vol.
3%
31 de diciembre
$120,704 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as his successor, yet Powell’s separate 14-year term as a Board Governor extends through January 2028. He has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until a Justice Department probe into the renovation of Fed headquarters is fully resolved, citing institutional interests amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. This stance marks the first time since 1948 that a departing chair has chosen to stay on as governor rather than step aside immediately. Traders are monitoring the timeline of the DOJ investigation and any potential acceleration in Powell’s exit, as his continued presence preserves a degree of continuity on the seven-member Board while Warsh assumes the chair role. Key near-term catalysts include updates on the renovation inquiry and broader monetary-policy signals that could influence Powell’s calculus on tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$320,446Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as his successor, yet Powell’s separate 14-year term as a Board Governor extends through January 2028. He has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until a Justice Department probe into the renovation of Fed headquarters is fully resolved, citing institutional interests amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. This stance marks the first time since 1948 that a departing chair has chosen to stay on as governor rather than step aside immediately. Traders are monitoring the timeline of the DOJ investigation and any potential acceleration in Powell’s exit, as his continued presence preserves a degree of continuity on the seven-member Board while Warsh assumes the chair role. Key near-term catalysts include updates on the renovation inquiry and broader monetary-policy signals that could influence Powell’s calculus on tenure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$320,446Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concludes on May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed as his successor, yet Powell’s separate 14-year term as a Board Governor extends through January 2028. He has publicly committed to remaining on the Board until a Justice Department probe into the renovation of Fed headquarters is fully resolved, citing institutional interests amid ongoing political friction with the Trump administration. This stance marks the first time since 1948 that a departing chair has chosen to stay on as governor rather than step aside immediately. Traders are monitoring the timeline of the DOJ investigation and any potential acceleration in Powell’s exit, as his continued presence preserves a degree of continuity on the seven-member Board while Warsh assumes the chair role. Key near-term catalysts include updates on the renovation inquiry and broader monetary-policy signals that could influence Powell’s calculus on tenure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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