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Política·Trump

¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?

Mar 31

Mar 31

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$38,517 Vol.

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$38,517 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 99.5% for President Trump attempting to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any recent public statements, executive actions, or White House signals indicating such a move in the past 30 days. Trump's January 2026 remarks explicitly stated no plans to fire Powell amid an ongoing investigation, and despite a March 26 criticism labeling him a "moron," no escalation toward termination has followed. Legal barriers remain significant, as Fed chairs can only be removed "for cause" under statute, with no modern precedent for success. Powell's chair term expires in May 2026, enabling a standard nomination process via Senate confirmation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden announcement or formal directive in the remaining three days, though traders see negligible risk.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 99.5% for President Trump attempting to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any recent public statements, executive actions, or White House signals indicating such a move in the past 30 days. Trump's January 2026 remarks explicitly stated no plans to fire Powell amid an ongoing investigation, and despite a March 26 criticism labeling him a "moron," no escalation toward termination has followed. Legal barriers remain significant, as Fed chairs can only be removed "for cause" under statute, with no modern precedent for success. Powell's chair term expires in May 2026, enabling a standard nomination process via Senate confirmation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden announcement or formal directive in the remaining three days, though traders see negligible risk.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 99.5% for President Trump attempting to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any recent public statements, executive actions, or White House signals indicating such a move in the past 30 days. Trump's January 2026 remarks explicitly stated no plans to fire Powell amid an ongoing investigation, and despite a March 26 criticism labeling him a "moron," no escalation toward termination has followed. Legal barriers remain significant, as Fed chairs can only be removed "for cause" under statute, with no modern precedent for success. Powell's chair term expires in May 2026, enabling a standard nomination process via Senate confirmation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden announcement or formal directive in the remaining three days, though traders see negligible risk.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 99.5% for President Trump attempting to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell by March 31, driven by the absence of any recent public statements, executive actions, or White House signals indicating such a move in the past 30 days. Trump's January 2026 remarks explicitly stated no plans to fire Powell amid an ongoing investigation, and despite a March 26 criticism labeling him a "moron," no escalation toward termination has followed. Legal barriers remain significant, as Fed chairs can only be removed "for cause" under statute, with no modern precedent for success. Powell's chair term expires in May 2026, enabling a standard nomination process via Senate confirmation. Realistic shifts would require a sudden announcement or formal directive in the remaining three days, though traders see negligible risk.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $38.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Intentará Trump despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump intentará despedir a Powell antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.