Strong U.S. economic data and above-target inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, with market-implied odds at 90% for “No.” The Fed has held the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% through three consecutive meetings amid resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate steady near 4.3%. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, reinforcing the central bank’s data-dependent stance that prioritizes inflation risks over near-term easing. Futures markets currently assign minimal probability of any adjustment at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, while the May CPI release on June 10 remains the next key catalyst that could influence the policy path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
Sí
$105,450 Vol.
$105,450 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong U.S. economic data and above-target inflation have anchored trader consensus against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, with market-implied odds at 90% for “No.” The Fed has held the federal funds target range at 3.50–3.75% through three consecutive meetings amid resilient payroll growth and an unemployment rate steady near 4.3%. April 2026 CPI printed at 3.8% year-over-year, driven by energy prices, reinforcing the central bank’s data-dependent stance that prioritizes inflation risks over near-term easing. Futures markets currently assign minimal probability of any adjustment at the June 16–17 FOMC meeting, while the May CPI release on June 10 remains the next key catalyst that could influence the policy path.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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