Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing solid growth and unemployment near 4.3%, while recent minutes highlighted upside inflation risks. Most brokerages now forecast a prolonged hold or possible modest hikes later in 2026, diverging from earlier expectations of easing. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or shift the current hawkish trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$105,330 Vol.
$105,330 Vol.
Sí
$105,330 Vol.
$105,330 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, with April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes from geopolitical tensions, have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward zero Federal Reserve rate cuts through year-end. The FOMC held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% in April for the third consecutive meeting, citing solid growth and unemployment near 4.3%, while recent minutes highlighted upside inflation risks. Most brokerages now forecast a prolonged hold or possible modest hikes later in 2026, diverging from earlier expectations of easing. The June 10 CPI release and June 16-17 FOMC meeting represent key near-term catalysts that could reinforce or shift the current hawkish trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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