President-elect Trump has interviewed Kevin Warsh as a potential Federal Reserve Chair nominee to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but no formal nomination has been announced, driving the 96.5% "No" trader consensus on withdrawal by May 15. Recent reports highlight Trump's ongoing vetting of multiple candidates, including Scott Bessent and Kevin Hassett, with no commitment to Warsh amid transition team deliberations. Historical patterns show post-election nominations often take months, reducing near-term withdrawal risk. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift backlash, Senate opposition previews, or personal scandals, though such scenarios remain low-probability absent major developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$61,561 Vol.
$61,561 Vol.
May 15, 2026
Sí
$61,561 Vol.
$61,561 Vol.
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President-elect Trump has interviewed Kevin Warsh as a potential Federal Reserve Chair nominee to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but no formal nomination has been announced, driving the 96.5% "No" trader consensus on withdrawal by May 15. Recent reports highlight Trump's ongoing vetting of multiple candidates, including Scott Bessent and Kevin Hassett, with no commitment to Warsh amid transition team deliberations. Historical patterns show post-election nominations often take months, reducing near-term withdrawal risk. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift backlash, Senate opposition previews, or personal scandals, though such scenarios remain low-probability absent major developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ET
Volumen
$61,561Fecha de finalización
May 15, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
President-elect Trump has interviewed Kevin Warsh as a potential Federal Reserve Chair nominee to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but no formal nomination has been announced, driving the 96.5% "No" trader consensus on withdrawal by May 15. Recent reports highlight Trump's ongoing vetting of multiple candidates, including Scott Bessent and Kevin Hassett, with no commitment to Warsh amid transition team deliberations. Historical patterns show post-election nominations often take months, reducing near-term withdrawal risk. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift backlash, Senate opposition previews, or personal scandals, though such scenarios remain low-probability absent major developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is withdrawn by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Formal withdrawal of Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve is required for a “Yes” resolution. Rejection of Warsh’s nomination by the United States Senate will not count.
If Kevin Warsh is formally confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the Senate, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If Warsh's nomination remains pending in the Senate through May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Kevin Warsh, the Trump Administration, and the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$61,561Fecha de finalización
May 15, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 5:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump has interviewed Kevin Warsh as a potential Federal Reserve Chair nominee to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but no formal nomination has been announced, driving the 96.5% "No" trader consensus on withdrawal by May 15. Recent reports highlight Trump's ongoing vetting of multiple candidates, including Scott Bessent and Kevin Hassett, with no commitment to Warsh amid transition team deliberations. Historical patterns show post-election nominations often take months, reducing near-term withdrawal risk. Realistic shifts could stem from a surprise nomination followed by swift backlash, Senate opposition previews, or personal scandals, though such scenarios remain low-probability absent major developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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