President-elect Donald Trump has not announced a nominee to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh has surfaced as a frontrunner following transition team interviews and reports of Trump's preference for his hawkish stance on inflation. Recent developments include White House personnel director Sergio Gor's meetings with Warsh last week, amid Trump's public criticism of Powell's rate policies. Republicans' Senate majority post-2024 elections eases the confirmation path—requiring committee approval and floor vote—but historical precedents show nominees need some bipartisan backing. Traders watch for a January 2025 nomination after inauguration, potential Banking Committee hearings, and any competing candidates like Judy Shelton.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$406,805 Vol.
May 15, 2026
1 de mayo
11%
15 de mayo
50%
$406,805 Vol.
1 de mayo
$276,282 Vol.
11%
15 de mayo
$130,522 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced a nominee to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh has surfaced as a frontrunner following transition team interviews and reports of Trump's preference for his hawkish stance on inflation. Recent developments include White House personnel director Sergio Gor's meetings with Warsh last week, amid Trump's public criticism of Powell's rate policies. Republicans' Senate majority post-2024 elections eases the confirmation path—requiring committee approval and floor vote—but historical precedents show nominees need some bipartisan backing. Traders watch for a January 2025 nomination after inauguration, potential Banking Committee hearings, and any competing candidates like Judy Shelton.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Volumen
$406,805Fecha de finalización
May 15, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not announced a nominee to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh has surfaced as a frontrunner following transition team interviews and reports of Trump's preference for his hawkish stance on inflation. Recent developments include White House personnel director Sergio Gor's meetings with Warsh last week, amid Trump's public criticism of Powell's rate policies. Republicans' Senate majority post-2024 elections eases the confirmation path—requiring committee approval and floor vote—but historical precedents show nominees need some bipartisan backing. Traders watch for a January 2025 nomination after inauguration, potential Banking Committee hearings, and any competing candidates like Judy Shelton.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$406,805Fecha de finalización
May 15, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not announced a nominee to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, whose term ends May 15, 2026, but former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh has surfaced as a frontrunner following transition team interviews and reports of Trump's preference for his hawkish stance on inflation. Recent developments include White House personnel director Sergio Gor's meetings with Warsh last week, amid Trump's public criticism of Powell's rate policies. Republicans' Senate majority post-2024 elections eases the confirmation path—requiring committee approval and floor vote—but historical precedents show nominees need some bipartisan backing. Traders watch for a January 2025 nomination after inauguration, potential Banking Committee hearings, and any competing candidates like Judy Shelton.
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